PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-05
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.042. Range 0.033 to 0.043. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.038550550
0.0392,6013,151
0.040753,226
0.0412863,512
0.0423993,912
0.0435004,412
0.0446,85111,263
0.0451,32812,591
0.04620012,791
0.0481,26014,051
0.04980014,851
0.0504,50019,351

Spread0.005Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0331010
0.032137147
0.031200347
0.030136483
0.0295,4135,897
0.0284,13310,030
0.0276,40616,436
0.0263,58220,018
0.02413720,156
0.0231,30021,456
0.02024421,699
0.0155,46127,160

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9671010
0.968137147
0.969200347
0.970136483
0.9715,4135,897
0.9724,13310,030
0.9736,40616,436
0.9743,58220,018
0.97613720,156
0.9771,30021,456
0.98024421,699
0.9855,46127,160

Spread0.005Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.962550550
0.9612,6013,151
0.960753,226
0.9592863,512
0.9583993,912
0.9575004,412
0.9566,85111,263
0.9551,32812,591
0.95420012,791
0.9521,26014,051
0.95180014,851
0.9504,50019,351

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
UnreasonableAwarenessYes150,320.97
occasionalAwarenessYes54,007.69
LeopoldAschenboogerYes5,347.8
DualDeltaYes3,241.91
Dr.PNLYes469.17
xtxpleasecallmeYes463.25
kellyyanYes403.01
vaicoolrentsYes320.66
PolyJaguarYes300.32
thecaricatureYes300
LornaPredictsYes272.39
kaifuYes200
0xC574B5423f55794a152fb6b23c21c6d46ef599DE-1780134207678Yes142.86
LordProtectorYes122.25
BrazenBananaYes103.46
pppnnYes95
9627mtYes87.5
ivankvashaYes85.37
0xaC46F27DA1a454fB98aC809a705C378C9e2F2cae-1778737422472Yes83.33
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes80

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:20:28SELLNo0.9620$0.06
13:51:22BUYNo0.967190$183.73
06:16:58SELLNo0.95930$28.77
04:06:30SELLNo0.9591$0.64
21:17:07SELLYes0.0321$0.03
21:04:15SELLNo0.966197$190.30
18:14:25SELLNo0.9662$2.05
16:27:16SELLYes0.031100$3.10
16:27:09SELLYes0.0325100$3.25
16:26:27BUYNo0.9657188498626$604.54
16:26:27BUYNo0.969100$96.90
13:50:40SELLNo0.9590$0.04
13:48:10SELLNo0.9590$0.07
11:01:40SELLYes0.0365$0.18
11:00:00SELLNo0.9595$4.79
10:59:15SELLYes0.0355$0.18
10:59:04BUYNo0.96099999625$4.81
03:01:36BUYNo0.959999969321$20.00
12:26:03SELLNo0.9590$0.02
03:13:33BUYNo0.95930$28.77
01:54:49BUYYes0.04152$2.13
17:55:34SELLNo0.9585929259208$199.20
17:55:34BUYYes0.04250$2.10
07:34:05SELLNo0.9590$0.03
07:31:35SELLNo0.9590$0.04