PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaC46F27DA1a454fB98aC809a705C378C9e2F2cae-1778737422472

0xac46f27da1a454fb98ac809a705c378c9e2f2cae

Realised P&L
$36.60
Volume
$851.69
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$110.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1681.000$59.52+$49.52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1500.195$6.50+$1.50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8871.000$5.64+$0.64
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9091.000$5.50+$0.50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9161.000$5.46+$0.46
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9161.000$5.46+$0.46
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30? · Yes0.9301.000$5.38+$0.38
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9491.000$5.27+$0.27
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9661.000$5.18+$0.18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0600.035$2.96−$2.04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0580.021$1.77−$3.23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1300.043$1.67−$3.33
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation on June 30? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$5.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 11:32Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation on June 30?BUY0.0225053698$5.00
05-20 11:32Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
05-20 11:30Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0579999894$5.00
05-20 11:30Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.149999976$5.00
05-20 11:29Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
05-20 11:29Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.059999989$5.00
05-20 11:29Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999963$5.00
05-20 11:29Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9659999961$5.00
05-20 11:28Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9489999973$5.00
05-20 11:28Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9159999861$5.00
05-20 11:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9159999861$5.00
05-20 11:28Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9089999925$5.00
05-20 11:28Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.886999991$5.00
05-20 11:27Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1679999763$5.00
05-20 10:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1679999763$5.00