0xaC46F27DA1a454fB98aC809a705C378C9e2F2cae-1778737422472
0xac46f27da1a454fb98ac809a705c378c9e2f2cae
- Realised P&L
- $36.60
- Volume
- $851.69
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $110.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 11:32 | Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation on June 30? | BUY | 0.0225053698 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:32 | Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:30 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0579999894 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:29 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:29 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:29 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999963 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:29 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9659999961 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:28 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9489999973 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:28 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9159999861 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9159999861 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:28 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9089999925 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:28 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.886999991 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 11:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999763 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 10:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999763 | $5.00 |