BrazenBanana
0x5c4296d1c4c194705f5d86d04b3f2211a2af257b
- Realised P&L
- $21.38
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $50.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.99at 0.183Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
- +$7.36at 0.304Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
- +$5.65at 0.592Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$5.58at 0.559Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?
- +$4.55at 0.419Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 18:43 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.06 |
| 10-30 18:41 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.96 |
| 10-30 18:41 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.96 |
| 10-30 18:41 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.96 |
| 10-15 23:19 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 22:29 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 22:24 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 21:24 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 16:54 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 01:26 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 07:01 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 13:45 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:39 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:50 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $0.98 |
| 10-08 11:36 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999722 | $1.00 |