ivankvasha
0x20c3413cbf25ebc8422f7481f609744da41c35ff
- Realised P&L
- $-1.05
- Volume
- $103.00
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $3.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.035 | $3.03 | −$0.47 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.04at 0.365US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 21:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $3.50 |
| 10-27 21:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.96 |
| 10-27 21:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3649999592 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 21:01 | XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |