PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.07 to 0.14. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.081,6631,663
0.099842,647
0.101,4824,129
0.111104,239
0.12394,278
0.136454,923
0.141,3246,247
0.15366,283
0.163646,647
0.173246,971
0.187167,687
0.191,0258,713

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.075,7095,709
0.065,91011,620
0.051,27112,891
0.0460013,491
0.0355014,041
0.0265014,691
0.0175015,441

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.935,7095,709
0.945,91011,620
0.951,27112,891
0.9660013,491
0.9755014,041
0.9865014,691
0.9975015,441

Spread0.01Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.921,6631,663
0.919842,647
0.901,4824,129
0.891104,239
0.88394,278
0.876454,923
0.861,3246,247
0.85366,283
0.843646,647
0.833246,971
0.827167,687
0.811,0258,713

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Contentious-DinnerdateYes21,962
Optionsguru18Yes10,000
balthazarYes5,791.09
XenyYes5,698.42
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes4,672.85
Username2133Yes4,000
DancewithRiskYes3,331.91
SnapElectionAvoiderYes2,753.19
m3t64 - 815Yes2,342.69
DEGENKHANYes2,134.22
runitup80Yes2,000
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes1,658
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Yes1,644.23
GdubYes1,499.99
0xD173AB800A5661c1086A2fC2D350300610B71B86-1781278571355Yes1,400
BanditoesYes1,299.99
QuarzoYes1,272.45
xtxpleasecallmeYes1,034.85
CT-testYes1,006.78
papa6669Yes971.75

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:31:18BUYNo0.93183$170.38
20:31:16BUYNo0.9345$41.85
20:29:39BUYNo0.9316$14.88
20:29:39BUYNo0.9314$13.39
20:06:06BUYNo0.9343$40.35
20:06:06BUYNo0.9350$46.50
20:06:04BUYNo0.9325$23.25
19:44:43SELLYes0.0720$1.41
18:48:48SELLYes0.0812$0.99
16:03:09SELLYes0.0870$5.63
15:57:16SELLYes0.0820$1.60
11:09:31BUYNo0.9230$27.60
08:28:49BUYNo0.9250$46.00
02:40:52SELLYes0.0820$1.60
20:24:36BUYNo0.9220$18.40
20:24:36BUYYes0.089999999520$1.79
20:24:36BUYNo0.9230$27.60
20:24:36BUYNo0.9268$62.56
20:24:36BUYNo0.9243$39.76
20:24:36BUYNo0.9240$36.80
20:24:36BUYYes0.089999999520$1.79
20:24:36BUYNo0.92133$122.27
19:49:12BUYNo0.9230$27.60
19:49:12BUYYes0.098$0.72
19:49:12BUYNo0.9218$16.56