Optionsguru18
0x46d3d62ab3dd01fb8dc3b16f0141462c82df62e0
- Realised P&L
- $69.9k
- Volume
- $512.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.8kat 0.480Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$20.8kat 0.450Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$19.9kat 0.089Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$10.7kat 0.463Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$7.0kat 0.565Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 00:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.049651065 | $993.02 |
| 10-26 01:59 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2001852561 | $820.76 |
| 10-26 01:12 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.09956836 | $995.68 |
| 06-03 17:29 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $1.8k |
| 05-29 23:30 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099692308 | $4.0k |
| 05-29 03:20 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $642.60 |
| 05-27 18:50 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $876.04 |
| 05-21 04:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.46903621 | $4.7k |
| 05-18 02:21 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.8k |
| 05-01 20:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.5268987435 | $1.1k |
| 04-29 17:28 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $475.99 |
| 04-29 17:08 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.9k |
| 04-24 02:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | BUY | 0.53 | $612.09 |
| 04-24 01:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 04-24 01:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | BUY | 0.5 | $351.02 |