PolyBot

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Traders

Optionsguru18

0x46d3d62ab3dd01fb8dc3b16f0141462c82df62e0

Realised P&L
$69.9k
Volume
$512.4k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$8.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5300.565$3.1k+$187.03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.0500.101$2.0k+$1.0k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.175$1.6k−$1.2k
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2000.201$822.05+$1.29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1000.075$750.00−$245.68
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · No0.5500.928$83.28+$33.95
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4690.000$0.00−$4.7k
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$1.9k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · No0.3340.000$0.00−$6.3k
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October? · No0.5670.000$0.00−$2.3k
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$972.20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$21.94
Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$850.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$4.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 00:30Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.049651065$993.02
10-26 01:59Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2001852561$820.76
10-26 01:12Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.09956836$995.68
06-03 17:29Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?BUY0.46$1.8k
05-29 23:30Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3099692308$4.0k
05-29 03:20Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL0.18$642.60
05-27 18:50Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.22$876.04
05-21 04:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.46903621$4.7k
05-18 02:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$2.8k
05-01 20:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.5268987435$1.1k
04-29 17:28Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL0.56$475.99
04-29 17:08Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.56$3.9k
04-24 02:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?BUY0.53$612.09
04-24 01:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?BUY0.52$1.0k
04-24 01:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?BUY0.5$351.02