Quarzo
0x88ee376120bfcf1daf5642c5d8a6b45d7637c234
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $597.2k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $10.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.017Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 23:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.21 | $126.00 |
| 10-15 23:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 23:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 05:02 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0941980385 | $92.40 |
| 10-13 04:56 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6860714213 | $1.0k |
| 10-12 02:15 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0633377483 | $9.56 |
| 10-11 23:42 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.5537377498 | $133.57 |
| 10-11 23:36 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $123.20 |
| 10-11 19:38 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.3726543346 | $317.19 |
| 10-11 19:26 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.5935788556 | $714.73 |
| 10-11 18:58 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.32 |
| 10-11 17:55 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $408.80 |
| 10-11 12:07 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? | BUY | 0.038 | $2.49 |
| 10-11 12:05 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? | BUY | 0.033 | $2.93 |
| 10-11 09:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $516.00 |