PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Quarzo

0x88ee376120bfcf1daf5642c5d8a6b45d7637c234

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$531.3k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$7.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7100.695$3.5k$75.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6000.655$2.6k+$222.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes0.5600.633$391.62+$44.95
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? · Yes0.2850.375$232.30+$55.67
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0800.076$229.50$10.50
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.7900.624$64.66$17.27
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4000.605$30.25+$10.25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1970.191$13.87$0.46
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · No0.9490.935$5.12$0.08
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.095$4.75$1.75
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? · Yes0.0470.002$2.47$55.19
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? · Yes0.0070.004$2.40$1.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4700.001$0.10$98.65
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? · Yes0.2700.005$0.03$1.59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28? · No0.0190.000$0.00$8.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:49Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?BUY0.399$13.96
08-03 03:49Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?BUY0.399$9.98
08-03 03:48Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?SELL0.63$25.20
08-03 03:19Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.509$16.29
08-02 12:26Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.386808389$480.27
08-02 12:16Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?BUY0.25$113.25
08-02 02:48Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.36$36.00
08-02 02:48Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.36$37.80
08-02 02:37Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.3898522167$395.70
08-02 02:36Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?SELL0.25$48.31
08-02 02:26Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?BUY0.0499782261$54.93
08-02 02:23Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.72$214.52
08-02 02:22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?SELL0.45$90.00
08-02 01:45Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?BUY0.4742835821$3.18
08-02 01:44Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?SELL0.4516666667$108.40