PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Quarzo

0x88ee376120bfcf1daf5642c5d8a6b45d7637c234

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$597.2k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$10.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7240.755$2.8k+$118.07
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6880.615$2.6k−$306.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5260.771$1.6k+$494.25
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.6200.535$1.1k−$170.72
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.5870.615$888.87+$40.57
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1750.157$391.25−$47.25
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · No0.3730.385$330.03+$10.57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · Yes0.3700.355$283.85−$11.99
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.3230.385$251.35+$40.49
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? · Yes0.0830.110$141.46+$34.09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? · Yes0.2070.150$120.00−$46.00
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3700.998$44.88+$28.23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1970.267$19.43+$5.11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.175$8.75+$2.25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6000.225$8.00−$13.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 23:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?BUY0.21$126.00
10-15 23:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?BUY0.2$20.00
10-15 23:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?BUY0.2$20.00
10-13 05:02Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?BUY0.0941980385$92.40
10-13 04:56Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6860714213$1.0k
10-12 02:15Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?BUY0.0633377483$9.56
10-11 23:42Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?BUY0.5537377498$133.57
10-11 23:36Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.56$123.20
10-11 19:38Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?BUY0.3726543346$317.19
10-11 19:26Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?BUY0.5935788556$714.73
10-11 18:58Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?BUY0.16$20.32
10-11 17:55Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.76$408.80
10-11 12:07Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?BUY0.038$2.49
10-11 12:05Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?BUY0.033$2.93
10-11 09:59Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$516.00