Quarzo
0x88ee376120bfcf1daf5642c5d8a6b45d7637c234
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $531.3k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?
- +$2.5kat 0.500Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:49 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.399 | $13.96 |
| 08-03 03:49 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.399 | $9.98 |
| 08-03 03:48 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | SELL | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 08-03 03:19 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.509 | $16.29 |
| 08-02 12:26 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.386808389 | $480.27 |
| 08-02 12:16 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.25 | $113.25 |
| 08-02 02:48 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 08-02 02:48 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.36 | $37.80 |
| 08-02 02:37 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.3898522167 | $395.70 |
| 08-02 02:36 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | SELL | 0.25 | $48.31 |
| 08-02 02:26 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? | BUY | 0.0499782261 | $54.93 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.72 | $214.52 |
| 08-02 02:22 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | SELL | 0.45 | $90.00 |
| 08-02 01:45 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.4742835821 | $3.18 |
| 08-02 01:44 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | SELL | 0.4516666667 | $108.40 |