Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.80. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.82. Range 0.27 to 0.89. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	265	265
0.81	80	345
0.82	50	395
0.85	63	458
0.86	111	568
0.87	36	604
0.89	206	811
0.90	69	880
0.92	50	930
0.93	341	1,271
0.94	199	1,470
0.95	100	1,570

Spread0.01Mid0.80

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	123	123
0.77	60	183
0.76	59	242
0.75	200	442
0.74	200	642
0.63	20	662
0.61	150	812
0.60	20	832
0.54	50	882
0.28	20	902
0.27	30	932
0.17	294	1,226

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	123	123
0.23	60	183
0.24	59	242
0.25	200	442
0.26	200	642
0.37	20	662
0.39	150	812
0.40	20	832
0.46	50	882
0.72	20	902
0.73	30	932
0.83	294	1,226

Spread0.01Mid0.21

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	265	265
0.19	80	345
0.18	50	395
0.15	63	458
0.14	111	568
0.13	36	604
0.11	206	811
0.10	69	880
0.08	50	930
0.07	341	1,271
0.06	199	1,470
0.05	100	1,570

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
vinii	Yes	498.28
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	242.28
buyaoshangtou1	Yes	140
qianyi2026	Yes	105
molodoyy	Yes	97.9
tradetosurvive1	Yes	82.05
bmtr	Yes	80.1
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494	Yes	70.27
LornaPredicts	Yes	68
predictdogepepewif	Yes	55.77
h.h	Yes	51.64
userswiss01	Yes	40.32
Shahin-VP	Yes	39.99
dgfd76	Yes	36.07
0xcf555f265e072d04258ac51f9403b32edf638fd9-1774960763636	Yes	26
Fleurs	Yes	1.96
Respire	Yes	1.79
Coleridga	Yes	1.51
0xB46f1462363E343b7F8f7b8A6785a2c718CF6b70-1776370660492	Yes	1.25
0xa5ef…2966	No	982.63

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:43:11	BUY	Yes	0.8	1	$1.00
15:29:20	SELL	Yes	0.75	14	$10.50
15:03:50	SELL	Yes	0.74	20	$14.80
14:40:27	BUY	Yes	0.75	10	$7.50
14:40:06	BUY	Yes	0.75	10	$7.50
14:32:15	BUY	No	0.24	18	$4.32
14:25:24	SELL	No	0.21	30	$6.30
12:36:36	BUY	Yes	0.6818409426	217	$148.15
10:24:26	BUY	Yes	0.6799999472	2	$1.03
09:21:11	SELL	Yes	0.65	25	$16.25
03:13:17	SELL	Yes	0.66	14	$9.19
01:42:06	SELL	No	0.32	20	$6.40
21:51:14	SELL	No	0.37	20	$7.40
20:01:33	SELL	Yes	0.69	20	$13.80
20:01:33	SELL	No	0.3	0	$0.03
19:40:57	SELL	No	0.23	0	$0.00
19:40:57	BUY	No	0.378674635	21	$8.00
19:40:53	BUY	No	0.3699999966	24	$8.80
19:40:48	BUY	Yes	0.5359534232	286	$153.04
18:56:09	SELL	Yes	0.5239606396	228	$119.27
18:51:51	SELL	Yes	0.6133333333	60	$36.80
18:43:41	SELL	Yes	0.6008053691	149	$89.52
18:43:20	SELL	Yes	0.6291262136	103	$64.80
18:43:12	SELL	Yes	0.64	61	$39.04
17:59:57	SELL	Yes	0.615	20	$12.30