0xcf555f265e072d04258ac51f9403b32edf638fd9-1774960763636
0xcf555f265e072d04258ac51f9403b32edf638fd9
- Realised P&L
- $-88.88
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $20.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.795 | $20.67 | +$8.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.09at 0.046Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.90at 0.273Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$9.45at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$9.32at 0.165Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$8.00at 0.200Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:15 | Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next? | SELL | 0.449 | $6.74 |
| 09-19 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $1.24 |
| 09-19 21:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:58 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.2565574136 | $2.30 |
| 09-17 07:58 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.286 | $5.73 |
| 09-17 06:09 | Will Lacy Schneemann qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.1860606061 | $6.14 |
| 09-17 03:37 | Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.27 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 02:03 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-16 23:25 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 09-16 04:28 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.969 | $5.33 |
| 09-16 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.971 | $5.32 |
| 09-09 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $1.04 |
| 09-09 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 22:03 | Spread: CA Platense (-1.5) | SELL | 0.967 | $5.29 |
| 09-08 19:00 | Spread: FC Porto (-2.5) | SELL | 0.964 | $5.21 |