0xB46f1462363E343b7F8f7b8A6785a2c718CF6b70-1776370660492
0xb46f1462363e343b7f8f7b8a6785a2c718cf6b70
- Realised P&L
- $-16.12
- Volume
- $763.38
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $8.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.03at 0.117Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?
- +$2.64at 0.657Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$2.62at 0.437Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$2.19at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.91at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:04 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:03 | Will Trump say "Data Center" this week? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 17:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 17:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 17:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:15 | Will MrBeast say "GTA" or "Grand Theft Auto" during his next gaming YouTube video? | BUY | 0.0449999984 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:08 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his United Nations meetings? | BUY | 0.2369999597 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |