PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB46f1462363E343b7F8f7b8A6785a2c718CF6b70-1776370660492

0xb46f1462363e343b7f8f7b8a6785a2c718cf6b70

Realised P&L
$-16.12
Volume
$763.38
Markets traded
223
Open portfolio
$8.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded223
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29? · Yes0.4400.515$2.34+$0.34
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.4490.444$0.99−$0.01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.0800.075$0.94−$0.06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4000.375$0.94−$0.06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8460.792$0.94−$0.06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.285$0.92−$0.08
Will Trump say "Data Center" this week? · Yes0.7700.405$0.53−$0.47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1640.085$0.52−$0.48
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week? · Yes0.5000.150$0.30−$0.70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · Yes0.6000.095$0.16−$0.84
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.042$0.07−$0.93
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7400.037$0.05−$0.95
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 20? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 20:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-28 20:05Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.439999956$2.00
09-28 20:04Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week?BUY0.5$1.00
09-28 20:03Will Trump say "Data Center" this week?BUY0.77$1.00
09-27 17:152026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4$1.00
09-27 17:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-27 17:142026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.08$1.00
09-25 20:15Will MrBeast say "GTA" or "Grand Theft Auto" during his next gaming YouTube video?BUY0.0449999984$1.00
09-25 20:08Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his United Nations meetings?BUY0.2369999597$1.00
09-24 20:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-24 20:08Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-22 22:37Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-22 17:54Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-15 20:04Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 15?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-14 20:06Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 14?BUY0.5799999768$1.00