Shahin-VP
0x1df8816f71dd83d81639d1fd972989513a05a05c
- Realised P&L
- $117.00
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $84.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.24at 0.362Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$54.59at 0.468Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
- +$30.84at 0.845Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$27.00at 0.460Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$11.25at 0.720 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 08:58 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.86 | $18.23 |
| 10-01 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 10-01 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 10-01 09:49 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.59 |
| 10-01 09:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 09-30 04:45 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | SELL | 0.0060833403 | $0.73 |
| 09-28 10:55 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.60 |
| 09-28 05:23 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 09-27 05:09 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 09-26 03:10 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $17.43 |
| 09-25 06:18 | Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.59 |
| 09-25 06:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-24 16:51 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-24 16:48 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.952 | $7.62 |
| 09-24 16:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.20 |