h.h
0x3b6eaff853aa70d45adff16445ab9840052370fa
- Realised P&L
- $-104.53
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 301
- Open portfolio
- $657.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded301
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.61at 0.380Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?
- +$32.87at 0.321Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?
- +$30.68at 0.410Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?
- +$30.00at 0.470Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?
- +$27.12at 0.660Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:13 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 09-30 22:55 | Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in September? | BUY | 0.0151232237 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:31 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 21:22 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3299999965 | $16.00 |
| 09-20 07:12 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 12:48 | Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.34 |
| 09-16 21:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.76 |
| 09-15 11:36 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:52 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.4139999892 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 17:22 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.3081861958 | $6.00 |
| 09-12 19:46 | Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.16 |
| 09-12 19:44 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.29 |
| 09-12 19:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0519999979 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 18:22 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | BUY | 0.2799999932 | $8.20 |
| 09-11 11:11 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1199999983 | $2.90 |