PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

h.h

0x3b6eaff853aa70d45adff16445ab9840052370fa

Realised P&L
$-104.53
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
301
Open portfolio
$657.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded301
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.6700.795$79.50+$12.50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.6900.825$77.96+$12.76
Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.6680.986$65.82+$21.21
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · No0.6100.655$52.40+$3.60
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.5500.600$44.40+$3.70
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.5900.565$41.36−$1.83
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4600.795$41.05+$17.30
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2000.993$37.72+$30.11
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · No0.6500.310$26.66−$29.24
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? · Yes0.4100.435$22.62+$1.30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · No0.3100.775$22.48+$13.48
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · No0.2900.365$16.43+$3.38
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? · No0.2800.275$13.20−$0.24
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · No0.2700.250$11.25−$0.90
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · No0.1800.980$10.77+$8.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:13Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?BUY0.18$7.20
09-30 22:55Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in September?BUY0.0151232237$1.00
09-21 21:31Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?BUY0.3099999986$15.00
09-21 21:22Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.3299999965$16.00
09-20 07:12Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-18 12:48Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?SELL0.2$5.34
09-16 21:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$38.76
09-15 11:36Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?BUY0.0429999999$1.00
09-14 21:52Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?BUY0.4139999892$15.00
09-13 17:22Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.3081861958$6.00
09-12 19:46Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?SELL0.006$0.16
09-12 19:44Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?SELL0.999$10.29
09-12 19:00Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0519999979$1.00
09-12 18:22Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?BUY0.2799999932$8.20
09-11 11:11Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?BUY0.1199999983$2.90