userswiss01
0x1d7df09dd11b3d712b6db4feb5b9cb3ccc54c2c6
- Realised P&L
- $-106.16
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $95.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.04at 0.489Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$34.40at 0.360Kash Patel out by June 30?
- +$31.17at 0.643Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$25.80at 0.520Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$24.84at 0.510Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:08 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999931 | $3.98 |
| 09-22 02:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 18:52 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999757 | $25.00 |
| 08-29 18:50 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $7.06 |
| 08-29 18:50 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.958 | $12.19 |
| 08-29 18:50 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $14.99 |
| 08-29 18:48 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $16.18 |
| 08-29 18:48 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.87 | $13.79 |
| 08-29 18:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $50.87 |
| 08-17 01:59 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.64 |
| 08-17 01:58 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $15.93 |
| 07-29 04:02 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999961 | $7.00 |
| 07-29 03:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.51 |
| 07-29 03:58 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.9786849486 | $31.41 |
| 07-29 03:58 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |