PolyBot

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Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-10

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.002 to 0.003. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002292292
0.01332324
0.01495418
0.01515434
0.02588521
0.030100621
0.03710631
0.0388639
0.05630669
0.05725694
0.0885699
0.08995794

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0017,0217,021

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9997,0217,021

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998292292
0.98732324
0.98695418
0.98515434
0.97588521
0.970100621
0.96310631
0.9628639
0.94430669
0.94325694
0.9125699
0.91195794

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
huyewellYes259.48
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes218.32
MayWeatherstappenYes208.45
cry.eth2Yes186.32
2B9SYes147.02
LornaPredictsYes132.6
0xf528…7e5bYes102
qqqppp-l1Yes100
xiaodouziYes100
2kparabellumYes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes95.31
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes87.65
fang1957Yes80
AJSVYes70
jennylulu2016Yes62
0xd46e…a2baYes60
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes55
0x4ffa…3e2eYes50
wozaitaibeiYes45
rocky42014Yes32.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:50:16BUYNo0.998214821456$55.90
17:50:13BUYNo0.99854$53.89
18:50:06SELLYes0.0020$0.00
18:49:28SELLYes0.0022$0.00
18:47:01SELLYes0.0030$0.00
14:19:40SELLNo0.9971$1.02
13:52:57BUYNo0.9985$4.99
13:51:30SELLNo0.9972$2.01
17:29:48SELLYes0.00224$0.05
17:27:47SELLYes0.00245$0.09
09:29:08SELLYes0.00222$0.04
07:40:06SELLNo0.9972$2.01
07:08:48SELLNo0.9972$2.01
07:25:57BUYNo0.99830$29.94
12:09:02BUYNo0.99815$14.97
13:54:57BUYNo0.9988$7.69
11:37:19BUYNo0.99855$54.83
08:12:33BUYNo0.99820$20.06
08:12:33BUYNo0.9987$7.35
12:03:22BUYNo0.9985$5.27
12:03:22BUYNo0.99830$29.94
16:12:34BUYNo0.99420$20.18
16:12:28BUYNo0.9911$10.77
16:12:28BUYNo0.9904096098117$116.09
16:12:26BUYNo0.988493333375$74.14