PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf5286079ada8dcfeaa44f7f1c87e1ec37c127e5b

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$935.0k
Markets traded
29,722
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded29,722
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026? · No0.8150.912$15.50+$1.65
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in September? · Yes0.7820.735$10.89$0.70
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 30%-35%? · No0.8430.871$10.63+$0.34
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes0.8590.905$9.94+$0.51
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8140.898$9.89+$0.93
Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by September 18, 2026? · No0.8500.890$9.79+$0.44
Will Miami (FL) Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? · Yes0.8100.860$9.46+$0.55
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 in September? · No0.8300.860$9.46+$0.33
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8300.855$9.40+$0.28
Will João Roma win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? · No0.8400.845$9.29+$0.06
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8640.844$9.28$0.23
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.8900.914$9.14+$0.24
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.830$9.13+$0.22
Will Federico Staksrud reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.8400.820$9.02$0.22
Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · No0.8390.813$8.95$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:42Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Lions vs Bills game?SELL0.89$9.78
09-17 05:26Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?BUY0.763$3.81
09-17 05:13Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.7$4.20
09-17 04:10Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.75$4.50
09-17 03:35Will Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?BUY0.75$0.60
09-17 03:33Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.81$11.73
09-17 02:43Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.77$1.57
09-17 01:32Will Ohio St. Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?SELL0.74$4.44
09-16 23:47Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?BUY0.7$3.50
09-16 23:44Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?BUY0.71$0.07
09-16 22:38Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?BUY0.71$4.26
09-16 22:33Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $173 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.52$3.12
09-16 22:33Will Françoise Faverjon-Fortin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.5$3.00
09-16 22:01Will Missouri Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?SELL0.82$7.38
09-16 21:59Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September?SELL0.679$4.07