PolyBot

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Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. Unchanged over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.002 to 0.002. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002401401
0.01133434
0.01210444
0.0225449
0.05558507
0.16148555
0.1625560
0.190128689
0.31910699
0.32016715
0.52330745
0.52431776

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0012,2342,234

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9992,2342,234

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998401401
0.98933434
0.98810444
0.9785449
0.94558507
0.83948555
0.8385560
0.810128689
0.68110699
0.68016715
0.47730745
0.47631776

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815Yes1,887.53
IronEYes792.27
planktonXDYes462.18
LornaPredictsYes315.12
ImSweatingYes299.59
huyewellYes218.5
0x0Aa076ea6ec2Ea7928A1AB26a15637D61e4604A3-1774352226279Yes215.92
Anne666Yes132.75
12ldddYes128.44
Spiderman2026Yes121.18
xiaodouziYes100
AJSVYes88.65
NorthLuopanYes85
0xa1b16B041851E682f3aA672a12CE4b362C979bEF-1769290617862Yes77
hdjdjdjhshhYes75
cry.eth2Yes74.16
liq2Yes70
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes65
jennylulu2016Yes62
dumperYes60

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:18:12BUYNo0.9995$5.00
22:10:07SELLYes0.0015$0.01
01:14:15BUYYes0.00270$0.14
07:13:54BUYYes0.0025$0.01
07:13:48BUYYes0.0025$0.01
08:27:30BUYNo0.99933$32.72
08:27:28BUYNo0.99985$84.92
08:27:28BUYNo0.9995$5.00
21:51:48BUYNo0.99820$19.96
21:51:48BUYNo0.9982471089134$133.80
21:51:48BUYNo0.99850$49.90
21:51:48BUYNo0.99885$84.83
18:48:36SELLYes0.0020$0.00
18:45:34SELLYes0.0020$0.00
18:34:13SELLYes0.0020$0.00
17:28:36SELLYes0.0028$0.02
05:45:00SELLNo0.9972$1.99
03:21:39SELLNo0.9972$1.96
16:55:30SELLYes0.00226$0.05
08:14:39BUYNo0.9968$7.97
08:14:37BUYNo0.996248682680$79.40
08:14:37BUYNo0.99615$14.94
08:14:36BUYNo0.99620$19.92
08:14:36BUYNo0.99612$11.77
18:15:42BUYNo0.99614$13.95