0xa1b16B041851E682f3aA672a12CE4b362C979bEF-1769290617862
0xa1b16b041851e682f3aa672a12ce4b362c979bef
- Realised P&L
- $-754.55
- Volume
- $42.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $589.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.50at 0.590Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$-38.78at 0.066Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
- +$-87.00at 0.155China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- +$-133.15at 0.103Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-27 05:33 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $300.97 |
| 02-27 05:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.092 | $1.1k |
| 02-26 01:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.102 | $204.00 |
| 02-26 01:47 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.102 | $204.00 |
| 02-26 01:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.102 | $204.00 |
| 02-26 01:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.102 | $326.40 |
| 02-26 01:08 | Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.08 |
| 02-26 01:07 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.32 |
| 02-10 08:55 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.049 | $0.08 |
| 02-10 08:55 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.041 | $2.80 |
| 02-10 08:50 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.60 |
| 02-10 08:50 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.76 |
| 02-02 02:23 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.109888668 | $55.27 |
| 02-02 02:21 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.21 |
| 02-02 02:19 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0953016297 | $20.00 |