PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

12lddd

0xf503627922c01997259ea727bcb17e8ef49a39e2

Realised P&L
$870.10
Volume
$1.80M
Markets traded
3,629
Open portfolio
$58.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,629
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? · No0.7900.966$4.89+$0.89
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? · No0.3960.757$3.75+$1.79
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? · Yes0.3040.646$3.35+$1.78
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.1590.963$2.97+$2.48
Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No0.5830.976$2.96+$1.19
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9040.996$2.83+$0.26
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.4500.555$2.60+$0.49
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.8320.996$2.23+$0.37
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South? · No0.7100.570$2.20$0.54
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3200.670$2.05+$1.07
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4520.391$2.02$0.31
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9390.897$1.82$0.08
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.5800.685$1.77+$0.27
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.6690.775$1.65+$0.23
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7000.710$1.63+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 00:55Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.058$0.47
05-28 15:39Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?SELL0.6$4.28
05-22 22:45Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?SELL0.015$0.07
05-21 01:12Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense: O/U 2.5SELL0.001$0.01
05-20 15:02Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?SELL0.72$4.65
05-20 09:18Spain snap election called in 2026?SELL0.54$5.07
05-20 06:30Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?SELL0.7$4.93
05-19 18:54Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?SELL0.05$0.88
05-19 12:33Aurora FC vs. CD Marquense: O/U 2.5SELL0.002$0.01
05-15 16:20Will FURIA make a roster change before July?SELL0.13$0.90
05-15 01:42Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?SELL0.71$4.79
05-14 23:22Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals?SELL0.021$0.21
05-14 23:22Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals?SELL0.021$0.22
05-14 23:17AD Confiança vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5SELL0.68$4.57
05-14 21:31Will Uloma Ekpete Kama be the Republican nominee for GA-11?SELL0.0080304569$0.16