0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815
0x51de66b7f3d10eceb99aab57622ca850655e9e4a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $584.3k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.6kat 0.202Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$3.1kat 0.282US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.445Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
- +$1.7kat 0.044Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$841.68at 0.394Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:09 | Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1594592642 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 16:08 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.1085552142 | $87.99 |
| 09-17 16:06 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0395325516 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:57 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.0108910891 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 15:56 | Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? | BUY | 0.09 | $11.72 |
| 09-17 15:50 | Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? | BUY | 0.0441767061 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:46 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.1389693914 | $80.77 |
| 09-17 15:38 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $29.70 |
| 09-07 14:54 | Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | BUY | 0.054 | $15.17 |
| 09-07 14:54 | Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | BUY | 0.0497131088 | $35.00 |
| 09-07 14:52 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2803738318 | $30.00 |
| 09-07 14:51 | Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $17.86 |
| 09-07 14:14 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $42.00 |
| 09-07 14:12 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.2300763922 | $180.71 |
| 09-07 10:43 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $67.39 |