PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815

0x51de66b7f3d10eceb99aab57622ca850655e9e4a

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$584.3k
Markets traded
253
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded253
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.3150.230$2.2k$797.39
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.365$1.9k$1.3k
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.2980.095$966.43$2.1k
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2050.065$610.81$1.3k
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? · Yes0.4560.565$455.84+$88.14
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1060.033$435.23$992.13
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? · Yes0.4030.240$316.99$215.55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3300.155$310.00$350.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4610.125$251.71$677.43
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? · Yes0.3240.145$243.94$301.73
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? · Yes0.2630.185$147.81$62.16
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.1600.050$123.50$271.49
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1590.190$119.15+$19.15
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.3360.140$118.11$165.17
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5180.660$110.83+$23.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:09Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1594592642$100.00
09-17 16:08Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.1085552142$87.99
09-17 16:06Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0395325516$5.00
09-17 15:57Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?BUY0.0108910891$3.00
09-17 15:56Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?BUY0.09$11.72
09-17 15:50Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?BUY0.0441767061$2.00
09-17 15:46Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.1389693914$80.77
09-17 15:38US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.09$29.70
09-07 14:54Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?BUY0.054$15.17
09-07 14:54Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?BUY0.0497131088$35.00
09-07 14:52Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?BUY0.2803738318$30.00
09-07 14:51Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?BUY0.29$17.86
09-07 14:14Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.35$42.00
09-07 14:12Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.2300763922$180.71
09-07 10:43Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.35$67.39