0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815
0x51de66b7f3d10eceb99aab57622ca850655e9e4a
- Realised P&L
- $870.87
- Volume
- $631.8k
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.6kat 0.202Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$3.1kat 0.282US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.445Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?
- +$1.7kat 0.044Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$841.68at 0.394Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 10:23 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 10-28 12:57 | Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0210950452 | $4.00 |
| 10-28 12:55 | Will Nvidia be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.0064603723 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 12:55 | Will Nvidia be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $2.01 |
| 10-28 12:54 | Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0252804306 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 12:52 | Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0394926268 | $1.58 |
| 10-28 12:52 | Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0101901482 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 12:47 | Will Nvidia be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0125 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:46 | Will Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.0092924915 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 12:42 | Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0102971931 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 12:41 | Will Nvidia be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.046052631 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:37 | Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0558233744 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:36 | Will Nvidia be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.82 |
| 10-28 12:35 | Will Nvidia be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0161684028 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 12:35 | Will Nvidia be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0112983711 | $2.00 |