dumper
0xf2c501673e1063cbb395d926140dc345ea161829
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $148.8k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $888.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$770.45at 0.241Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?
- +$421.17at 0.736Will Portland Trail Blazers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
- +$420.00at 0.160Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?
- +$400.00at 0.200Bitcoin above $105,000 on June 6?
- +$383.92at 0.410Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899999989 | $144.00 |
| 08-01 12:44 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.26 | $170.04 |
| 08-01 12:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $497.04 |
| 04-27 04:18 | NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.019 | $14.74 |
| 04-27 04:18 | Will Portland Trail Blazers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.97 | $774.60 |
| 04-17 01:33 | Elon Bull Run Combo | BUY | 0.85 | $51.00 |
| 04-17 01:33 | Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0518463333 | $3.11 |
| 04-17 01:32 | Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.84 |
| 04-17 01:32 | Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.016559 | $0.99 |
| 04-17 01:32 | Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.0296243333 | $1.78 |
| 04-17 01:32 | Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.060738 | $3.64 |
| 03-07 15:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.62 |
| 03-07 15:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.62 |
| 03-07 15:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.994 | $806.13 |
| 02-23 10:53 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |