Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.044. up 0.037 over the period, from 0.007. Range 0.007 to 0.064. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.078	72	72
0.079	30	102
0.080	92	194
0.105	68	262
0.120	5	267
0.124	10	277
0.135	24	301
0.174	104	404
0.175	205	609
0.290	55	664
0.380	284	948
0.399	8	957

Spread0.067Mid0.044

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.011	5	5
0.010	79	84
0.007	108	192
0.006	167	359
0.005	675	1,034
0.004	11	1,045
0.003	3,155	4,200
0.002	999,980	1,004,180
0.001	2,382	1,006,561

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.989	5	5
0.990	79	84
0.993	108	192
0.994	167	359
0.995	675	1,034
0.996	11	1,045
0.997	3,155	4,200
0.998	999,980	1,004,180
0.999	2,382	1,006,561

Spread0.067Mid0.956

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.922	72	72
0.921	30	102
0.920	92	194
0.895	68	262
0.880	5	267
0.876	10	277
0.865	24	301
0.826	104	404
0.825	205	609
0.710	55	664
0.620	284	948
0.601	8	957

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
IronE	Yes	923.34
LornaPredicts	Yes	685.73
1walrus	Yes	500
Joe-Biden	Yes	385.41
ImSweating	Yes	343.05
6835437133	Yes	287.47
detonium	Yes	266.66
Loetwiek	Yes	249.42
AisLingOvO	Yes	240.34
zhyfacai	Yes	228
Mustafalafel	Yes	207.56
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	205
ironstorm	Yes	141
djl605	Yes	138.43
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	103.53
xiaodouzi	Yes	100
rplc-ftbl	Yes	99.96
Hakei.	Yes	97.88
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415	Yes	96.14
0x5533…51ba	Yes	92.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:41:33	SELL	Yes	0.01	10	$0.10
19:18:12	BUY	No	0.99	5	$4.95
16:20:54	BUY	No	0.987	10	$9.87
02:31:04	SELL	No	0.99	44	$43.86
22:08:54	SELL	Yes	0.005	5	$0.03
01:14:07	BUY	Yes	0.0091242857	70	$0.64
07:13:54	BUY	Yes	0.009	5	$0.04
07:13:48	BUY	Yes	0.009	5	$0.04
08:27:28	BUY	No	0.995	85	$84.58
08:27:28	BUY	No	0.995	5	$4.97
08:27:28	BUY	No	0.995	33	$32.59
21:51:48	BUY	No	0.996	134	$133.49
21:51:48	BUY	No	0.9920470588	85	$84.32
21:51:48	BUY	No	0.996	50	$49.80
18:48:28	SELL	Yes	0.008	1	$0.01
18:45:25	SELL	Yes	0.008	1	$0.01
18:34:01	SELL	Yes	0.008	1	$0.00
11:27:21	SELL	Yes	0.008	19	$0.15
22:06:00	SELL	Yes	0.006	71	$0.43
18:21:30	SELL	Yes	0.0085985946	68	$0.59
05:44:58	SELL	No	0.944	2	$1.89
17:43:30	BUY	Yes	0.0600231529	100	$6.00
10:56:28	SELL	Yes	0.004	6	$0.02
08:14:40	BUY	No	0.997	8	$7.98
08:14:37	BUY	No	0.997	80	$79.46