AisLingOvO
0x883524747fca79ddb9b611a9610e18c20887ec50
- Realised P&L
- $-999.77
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $17.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.037 | $9.01 | −$90.99 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $8.36 | +$1.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12AM ET · Up | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.00 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) · Gen.G | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$304.32 |
| Celtics vs. Bucks · Celtics | 0.857 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.10 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1) · Gen.G | 0.718 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$895.42 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.674 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.75 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.622 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12? · Down | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$304.90at 0.496LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)
- +$226.88at 0.332Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
- +$91.00at 0.860LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
- +$90.98at 0.710LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)
- +$86.02at 0.800LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-10 06:35 | Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $24.12 |
| 01-10 06:34 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68716 | $82.46 |
| 01-10 06:34 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 12-21 04:24 | Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon? | SELL | 0.2111404357 | $37.12 |
| 12-21 04:24 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 12-20 06:28 | Grizzlies vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.8588527873 | $400.00 |
| 12-20 05:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999988 | $149.00 |
| 12-20 05:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | SELL | 0.1257767511 | $15.25 |
| 12-20 05:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999983 | $80.00 |
| 12-19 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.6744884654 | $140.00 |
| 12-19 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.7712921109 | $100.00 |
| 12-19 16:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $288.00 |
| 12-17 08:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 12-17 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 12-15 18:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15? | BUY | 0.83 | $14.94 |