PolyBot

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Traders

djl605

0x942b4579263c8629ede662ae05c90f7cdfd5e25e

Realised P&L
$339.05
Volume
$167.2k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3510.305$1.2k$183.34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2100.503$422.38+$246.06
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? · No0.5000.920$276.00+$126.00
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? · Yes0.1960.835$263.86+$201.92
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? · Yes0.5070.645$246.46+$52.51
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.024$235.00+$58.09
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2390.068$157.95$402.08
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5050.435$152.25$24.39
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.455$143.32$55.13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3200.085$130.82$361.67
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? · Yes0.5200.355$126.95$58.94
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? · No0.2690.967$68.02+$49.06
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.2720.415$63.06+$21.70
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? · Yes0.3860.755$44.26+$21.64
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.7000.940$39.77+$10.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 02:30Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.49$73.50
06-09 12:50US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?BUY0.18$17.89
06-07 05:14US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?BUY0.42$105.00
06-04 14:19Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.507$152.10
06-01 10:16Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$202.79
06-01 01:05Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?SELL0.9909766$49.55
05-31 17:14US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.32$96.00
05-31 15:15US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.3581238274$19.09
05-31 12:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$240.00
05-31 12:21Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?BUY0.5198154414$185.89
05-31 12:19Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?SELL0.4611923234$169.42
05-31 05:16Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.92$399.68
05-27 15:242026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3299999998$1.0k
05-27 15:232026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.52$1.0k
05-25 15:00US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.39$74.49