djl605
0x942b4579263c8629ede662ae05c90f7cdfd5e25e
- Realised P&L
- $339.05
- Volume
- $167.2k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.363Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?
- +$631.92at 0.639Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?
- +$446.82at 0.507Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?
- +$338.07at 0.279Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$313.09at 0.669Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 02:30 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $73.50 |
| 06-09 12:50 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.18 | $17.89 |
| 06-07 05:14 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $105.00 |
| 06-04 14:19 | Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.507 | $152.10 |
| 06-01 10:16 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $202.79 |
| 06-01 01:05 | Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL? | SELL | 0.9909766 | $49.55 |
| 05-31 17:14 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $96.00 |
| 05-31 15:15 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | BUY | 0.3581238274 | $19.09 |
| 05-31 12:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $240.00 |
| 05-31 12:21 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.5198154414 | $185.89 |
| 05-31 12:19 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.4611923234 | $169.42 |
| 05-31 05:16 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $399.68 |
| 05-27 15:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3299999998 | $1.0k |
| 05-27 15:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 05-25 15:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $74.49 |