detonium
0xc02f3d7f14108da1a40a2b5ab49e1a1e08ed613f
- Realised P&L
- $-271.80
- Volume
- $42.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $122.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.512 | $93.34 | +$25.77 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.942 | $17.62 | +$2.65 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.037 | $10.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.085 | $1.08 | −$8.92 |
| Islanders vs. Canadiens · Islanders | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| BitBoy convicted? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.522 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.41at 0.602Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$17.65at 0.850Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
- +$11.00at 0.476Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 29?
- +$6.67at 0.600Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$6.67at 0.600Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 21:03 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9975 | $167.64 |
| 07-09 22:05 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.522499999 | $43.49 |
| 07-09 22:05 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 22:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5949999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 07:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.128 | $33.25 |
| 03-26 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 29? | BUY | 0.4761904762 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 00:12 | BitBoy convicted? | BUY | 0.2069314217 | $9.00 |
| 03-22 01:04 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3709999967 | $67.57 |
| 03-22 00:48 | Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 00:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 03-22 00:08 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 00:08 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 00:07 | Will CA Independiente vs. CA Talleres end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 00:01 | Spread: Spurs (-17.5) | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 03-21 23:58 | Islanders vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |