PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hakei.

0x97ead83eb0e6b7f142e63284791882f05ddf3363

Realised P&L
$89.4k
Volume
$5.54M
Markets traded
1,981
Open portfolio
$47.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,981
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6771.000$9.0k+$2.9k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7800.885$5.9k+$699.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5430.525$4.8k−$167.34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.421$4.2k−$2.3k
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1520.225$3.0k+$971.07
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? · No0.7570.760$2.9k+$11.51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.8500.999$2.8k+$422.80
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8530.805$2.0k−$120.62
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.9750.988$1.4k+$18.19
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · Yes0.1450.105$1.3k−$508.63
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.7170.395$1.2k−$954.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3650.335$1.0k−$91.45
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · No0.8570.792$1.0k−$80.84
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1430.075$673.08−$609.83
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · No0.6550.710$669.46+$51.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 02:42UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.29$1.1k
11-01 02:35UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.65$144.75
11-01 02:33UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.74$245.09
11-01 01:58UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.86$134.87
10-31 23:55Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.2$97.74
10-31 20:30LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.69$1.2k
10-31 19:25LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5569659268$385.44
10-31 19:20LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.45$405.00
10-31 16:49Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9$18.00
10-31 16:38Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.716$197.38
10-31 16:37Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.719$286.89
10-31 16:37Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7474204587$453.67
10-31 16:16Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.56$1.4k
10-30 00:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.9096747194$223.67
10-29 23:57LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.66$78.05