PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rplc-ftbl

0xac4c55b85a1dcacb638bd63ea4eeb8d8a9352200

Realised P&L
$-44.9k
Volume
$1.22M
Markets traded
4,382
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,382
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9700.977$2.1k+$14.23
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? · No0.9530.901$1.2k−$65.55
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No0.9320.932$466.25+$0.24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? · Yes0.7350.715$179.54−$5.06
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No0.7150.645$129.00−$14.00
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · No0.7400.795$90.54+$6.26
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · No0.9200.966$84.18+$3.99
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9500.956$83.09+$0.48
49ers vs. Seahawks · Seahawks0.6100.615$68.48+$0.56
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · No0.4190.314$59.75−$20.05
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9810.976$59.15−$0.33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? · No0.8840.990$49.45+$5.27
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.8700.810$48.60−$3.60
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3770.383$47.75+$0.66
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · No0.7500.700$45.75−$3.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 13:05Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.4199999424$2.77
10-09 12:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ETBUY0.98$8.32
10-09 12:49Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.029949471$3.42
10-09 12:41Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ETBUY0.9699999984$5.98
10-09 12:16Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?BUY0.7399999993$84.28
10-09 12:12Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur FeryBUY0.179999996$4.49
10-09 11:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7AM ETBUY0.0392807429$1.03
10-09 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.95$8.36
10-09 10:59Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.5099999463$3.23
10-09 10:59Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.4899999984$27.49
10-09 10:58Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.384399231$20.59
10-09 10:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.01$1.10
10-09 10:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ETBUY0.0389999992$1.07
10-09 10:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ETBUY0.9759999984$9.89
10-09 10:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.14$2.45