rplc-ftbl
0xac4c55b85a1dcacb638bd63ea4eeb8d8a9352200
- Realised P&L
- $-44.9k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 4,382
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,382
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.688Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?
- +$3.2kat 0.754China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic
- +$3.1kat 0.809China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev
- +$2.9kat 0.663Jingshan: Wushuang Zheng vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
- +$2.6kat 0.586US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999424 | $2.77 |
| 10-09 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $8.32 |
| 10-09 12:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.029949471 | $3.42 |
| 10-09 12:41 | Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999984 | $5.98 |
| 10-09 12:16 | Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? | BUY | 0.7399999993 | $84.28 |
| 10-09 12:12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery | BUY | 0.179999996 | $4.49 |
| 10-09 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.0392807429 | $1.03 |
| 10-09 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.36 |
| 10-09 10:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999463 | $3.23 |
| 10-09 10:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $27.49 |
| 10-09 10:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.384399231 | $20.59 |
| 10-09 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.10 |
| 10-09 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.0389999992 | $1.07 |
| 10-09 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.9759999984 | $9.89 |
| 10-09 10:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $2.45 |