PolyBot

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Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.43. Range 0.41 to 0.49. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4288
0.43513
0.441023
0.45528
0.491543
0.54548
0.551,6981,746
0.64551,801
0.66201,821
0.68341,855
0.69251,880
0.70501,930

Spread0.02Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4000
0.279797
0.2610107
0.245112
0.195117
0.1820137
0.175142
0.155147
0.1250197
0.0820217
0.0469286
0.0327312

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6000
0.739797
0.7410107
0.765112
0.815117
0.8220137
0.835142
0.855147
0.8850197
0.9220217
0.9669286
0.9727312

Spread0.02Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5888
0.57513
0.561023
0.55528
0.511543
0.46548
0.451,6981,746
0.36551,801
0.34201,821
0.32341,855
0.31251,880
0.30501,930

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x244Ba241484B6AF2AD4Cfee3C3A77885C82eD87f-1739990656649Yes1,698.11
IronEYes911.7
Orion96Yes627.32
eNakeVetsYes456.66
1walrusYes284.2
zk1984Yes259.71
thursdaysYes176.06
i.love.FrierenYes154.78
djl605Yes151.95
SweetChariotYes133.44
LoetwiekYes125.09
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900Yes101.62
BOBIN-765Yes99.98
NorthLuopanYes85
mustbethewaterYes79.98
hdjdjdjhshhYes75
cry.eth2Yes74.16
pollutionYes73.61
liq2Yes70
JohnLee314Yes70

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:18:12BUYNo0.595$2.95
19:12:06BUYNo0.554370872756$31.06
15:14:46BUYNo0.509999974513$6.80
21:51:34SELLYes0.464$1.88
13:09:42BUYNo0.595$2.95
01:55:24BUYYes0.5135$17.85
01:13:48BUYYes0.529607142970$37.07
21:26:36BUYYes0.529$4.52
21:26:10BUYYes0.5115$7.64
21:25:42BUYYes0.498$3.67
00:26:36SELLYes0.45$2.00
14:58:51BUYYes0.4886$41.19
07:13:54BUYYes0.475$2.35
07:13:46BUYYes0.475$2.35
08:27:30BUYNo0.615$3.05
08:27:28BUYNo0.6185$51.85
08:27:28BUYNo0.600839694733$19.68
21:51:48BUYNo0.6150$30.50
21:51:48BUYYes0.410$4.14
21:51:48BUYNo0.609999992425$15.28
21:51:48BUYNo0.6093352235134$81.67
21:51:48BUYNo0.598951764785$50.91
20:09:28BUYNo0.670$42.17
22:25:28BUYYes0.46999989034$1.80
05:33:27BUYYes0.4498$43.33