massappealyo
0x39a81adb16cc8d7da96349a63ca33da4ff9b7d57
- Realised P&L
- $-9.4k
- Volume
- $474.2k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.585 | $640.04 | +$274.09 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes | 0.559 | 0.535 | $314.11 | −$14.07 |
| Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.320 | $253.47 | −$75.12 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? · Yes | 0.436 | 0.480 | $82.69 | +$7.50 |
| Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? · Yes | 0.457 | 0.625 | $53.92 | +$14.52 |
| Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No | 0.750 | 0.620 | $16.72 | −$3.50 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.012 | $14.58 | −$35.42 |
| Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.164 | $3.92 | +$2.72 |
| Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.005 | $1.91 | −$109.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.345Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
- +$818.97at 0.093Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$781.13at 0.374Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?
- +$630.98at 0.187Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$622.66at 0.420Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:20 | Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? | SELL | 0.1961525 | $15.69 |
| 10-08 14:52 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.4399999932 | $26.00 |
| 10-08 11:13 | Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 10-08 11:11 | Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? | SELL | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 10-08 11:08 | Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? | SELL | 0.38 | $17.10 |
| 10-08 10:56 | Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 09:16 | Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.20 |
| 10-07 18:44 | Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? | BUY | 0.4095238089 | $32.00 |
| 10-07 18:44 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 18:27 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.4 | $45.00 |
| 10-07 12:43 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.3399999979 | $45.00 |
| 10-07 08:56 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.3208413538 | $70.00 |
| 10-06 21:09 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.4013933764 | $43.00 |
| 10-06 19:45 | Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9? | SELL | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 10-06 19:36 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $40.00 |