PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

massappealyo

0x39a81adb16cc8d7da96349a63ca33da4ff9b7d57

Realised P&L
$-9.4k
Volume
$474.2k
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? · Yes0.3340.585$640.04+$274.09
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.5590.535$314.11−$14.07
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? · Yes0.4150.320$253.47−$75.12
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? · Yes0.4360.480$82.69+$7.50
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode? · Yes0.4570.625$53.92+$14.52
Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No0.7500.620$16.72−$3.50
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0410.012$14.58−$35.42
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9? · Yes0.0500.164$3.92+$2.72
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9? · Yes0.2910.005$1.91−$109.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:20Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?SELL0.1961525$15.69
10-08 14:52Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?BUY0.4399999932$26.00
10-08 11:13Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?SELL0.38$7.60
10-08 11:11Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?SELL0.39$11.70
10-08 11:08Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?SELL0.38$17.10
10-08 10:56Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?SELL0.4$20.00
10-08 09:16Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9?BUY0.05$1.20
10-07 18:44Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9?BUY0.4095238089$32.00
10-07 18:44Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?BUY0.4199999966$50.00
10-07 18:27Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?BUY0.4$45.00
10-07 12:43Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?BUY0.3399999979$45.00
10-07 08:56Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?BUY0.3208413538$70.00
10-06 21:09Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?BUY0.4013933764$43.00
10-06 19:45Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 9?SELL0.25$30.00
10-06 19:36Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9?BUY0.25$40.00