PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x244Ba241484B6AF2AD4Cfee3C3A77885C82eD87f-1739990656649

0x244ba241484b6af2ad4cfee3c3a77885c82ed87f

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$206.3k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$493.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.5090.275$493.95−$421.04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3480.000$0.00−$69.60
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$14.14
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$23.40
Spread: Indiana (-7.5) · Indiana0.5000.000$0.00−$31.66
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$24.00
Miami vs. Ohio State · Ohio State0.3300.000$0.00−$6.60
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5740.000$0.00−$3.4k
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$10.00
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21? · No0.3920.000$0.00−$334.60
Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs0.4200.000$0.00−$10.00
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 16-22? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
World Series Winner · Blue Jays0.3200.000$0.00−$14.78
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$10.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:16Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?SELL0.0027634145$0.37
09-15 05:06Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.6678482385$160.18
09-14 19:10Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.55$8.15
09-12 18:11Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.7833469806$153.07
09-12 18:10Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?SELL0.0013746996$0.92
09-12 13:44Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.77$102.41
09-10 22:52Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.018$14.90
09-10 22:51Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?SELL0.0103317971$15.65
09-08 05:36Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?BUY0.44$35.61
09-07 16:51Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.67$67.00
09-04 12:11Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?SELL0.08$59.20
09-03 16:28Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?SELL0.8557142857$29.95
09-03 16:09Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.1199999968$30.23
09-03 16:08Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?SELL0.11$33.00
09-03 16:07Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?BUY0.12$27.55