0x244Ba241484B6AF2AD4Cfee3C3A77885C82eD87f-1739990656649
0x244ba241484b6af2ad4cfee3c3a77885c82ed87f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $206.3k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $493.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.851Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
- +$970.71at 0.783Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
- +$473.78at 0.435Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
- +$368.00at 0.387Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?
- +$351.10at 0.570Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:16 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | SELL | 0.0027634145 | $0.37 |
| 09-15 05:06 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.6678482385 | $160.18 |
| 09-14 19:10 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.15 |
| 09-12 18:11 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.7833469806 | $153.07 |
| 09-12 18:10 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | SELL | 0.0013746996 | $0.92 |
| 09-12 13:44 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.77 | $102.41 |
| 09-10 22:52 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.018 | $14.90 |
| 09-10 22:51 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | SELL | 0.0103317971 | $15.65 |
| 09-08 05:36 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $35.61 |
| 09-07 16:51 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 09-04 12:11 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7? | SELL | 0.08 | $59.20 |
| 09-03 16:28 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | SELL | 0.8557142857 | $29.95 |
| 09-03 16:09 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7? | BUY | 0.1199999968 | $30.23 |
| 09-03 16:08 | Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 09-03 16:07 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7? | BUY | 0.12 | $27.55 |