BOBIN-765
0x76d4f87fe8c8f9a0f022c33fc556935d911a4c8c
- Realised P&L
- $125.77
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $138.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.77at 0.396Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?
- +$84.61at 0.297Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
- +$46.64at 0.351Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?
- +$36.70at 0.266Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
- +$29.40at 0.574Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:52 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2169999906 | $14.25 |
| 06-19 10:21 | Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999954 | $3.50 |
| 06-19 10:21 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6099999672 | $6.50 |
| 06-15 03:50 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.061999996 | $14.00 |
| 06-13 13:47 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0509999953 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 13:39 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999952 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 13:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.078999993 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 14:57 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.097 | $9.70 |
| 03-22 08:58 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.10 |
| 02-28 01:54 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 02-05 00:51 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 02-04 14:22 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.42 |
| 02-04 07:38 | Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in February? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.46 |
| 02-04 07:09 | Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in February? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.30 |
| 02-04 03:01 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |