Orion96
0x3069c1002bd0bb6aec054c7a27722919df95f8ef
- Realised P&L
- $36.6k
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Markets traded
- 664
- Open portfolio
- $24.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded664
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.802Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$4.0kat 0.605Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
- +$3.6kat 0.816Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
- +$3.0kat 0.705Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
- +$2.7kat 0.118Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 03:53 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.0k |
| 10-11 01:02 | Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15? | BUY | 0.297255146 | $150.00 |
| 10-11 00:21 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 21:55 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.3999714306 | $700.00 |
| 10-06 00:28 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999988 | $500.00 |
| 10-06 00:23 | Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-06 00:17 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | BUY | 0.71 | $5.0k |
| 10-06 00:09 | Clavicular convicted of rape? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $270.00 |
| 10-06 00:07 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-06 00:05 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster? | BUY | 0.4625 | $37.00 |
| 10-04 21:48 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.2801589274 | $1.2k |
| 09-07 19:48 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.3846153846 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 19:48 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-07 19:47 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.97 | $20.0k |
| 08-03 07:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.0k |