Orion96
0x3069c1002bd0bb6aec054c7a27722919df95f8ef
- Realised P&L
- $31.1k
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Markets traded
- 656
- Open portfolio
- $43.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded656
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.802Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$4.0kat 0.605Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
- +$3.6kat 0.816Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
- +$3.0kat 0.705Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
- +$2.7kat 0.118Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 19:48 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19? | BUY | 0.3846153846 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 19:48 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-07 19:47 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.97 | $20.0k |
| 08-03 07:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.0k |
| 08-03 07:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.9785996463 | $8.0k |
| 07-31 07:54 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $800.62 |
| 07-27 21:44 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.4681305626 | $234.06 |
| 07-24 08:44 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.413200064 | $206.60 |
| 07-24 08:43 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.4723618472 | $236.18 |
| 07-24 08:43 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.6080317101 | $2.0k |
| 07-24 08:42 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.5679657593 | $800.00 |
| 07-24 08:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.3k |
| 07-24 08:40 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.3k |
| 07-24 08:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.85 | $1.8k |
| 07-24 08:37 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.669999999 | $160.00 |