Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.20 to 0.26. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	254	254
0.25	646	901
0.26	141	1,042
0.27	1,059	2,101
0.28	1,460	3,562
0.29	1,462	5,024
0.30	140	5,164
0.31	10	5,174
0.33	100	5,274
0.34	60	5,334
0.36	54	5,388
0.38	700	6,088

Spread0.02Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	8	8
0.21	480	488
0.20	2,447	2,935
0.19	1,071	4,006
0.18	281	4,288
0.17	102	4,390
0.16	100	4,490
0.14	15	4,505
0.13	20	4,525
0.11	20	4,545
0.08	50	4,595
0.07	291	4,885

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	8	8
0.79	480	488
0.80	2,447	2,935
0.81	1,071	4,006
0.82	281	4,288
0.83	102	4,390
0.84	100	4,490
0.86	15	4,505
0.87	20	4,525
0.89	20	4,545
0.92	50	4,595
0.93	291	4,885

Spread0.02Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	254	254
0.75	646	901
0.74	141	1,042
0.73	1,059	2,101
0.72	1,460	3,562
0.71	1,462	5,024
0.70	140	5,164
0.69	10	5,174
0.67	100	5,274
0.66	60	5,334
0.64	54	5,388
0.62	700	6,088

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
gopfan2	Yes	91,697.48
troim	Yes	9,000.08
Orion96	Yes	6,299.78
Miojinho	Yes	4,999.99
polmar001	Yes	4,525.76
0x955c…990f	Yes	3,382.43
Terry241129	Yes	2,337.96
IP1380	Yes	2,329.55
Zbinik	Yes	1,915.79
GrokEnjoyer	Yes	1,898
cocococococo	Yes	1,746.7
GollumGekko	Yes	1,679.94
donthackme	Yes	1,671.66
zugzwaaang	Yes	1,579
climateprofessor	Yes	1,157.83
WongKimArk	Yes	1,120.01
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209	Yes	1,098.53
RememberAmalek	Yes	1,005.99
varch01	Yes	1,000
Giannis2026	Yes	999.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:37:35	SELL	Yes	0.22	40	$8.80
15:12:44	BUY	Yes	0.2463054187	81	$20.00
12:59:57	BUY	Yes	0.24	80	$19.20
12:13:33	SELL	Yes	0.22	1	$0.22
12:12:10	SELL	Yes	0.22	3	$0.56
20:19:48	BUY	No	0.7842358661	255	$200.00
13:24:40	BUY	Yes	0.2463276464	152	$37.39
13:24:40	BUY	No	0.75	8	$6.14
13:17:03	BUY	Yes	0.22	35	$7.78
15:01:19	SELL	Yes	0.21	23	$4.93
14:00:36	BUY	Yes	0.219999978	5	$1.00
11:27:51	SELL	No	0.78	0	$0.06
11:27:49	SELL	Yes	0.204093525	415	$84.76
10:36:51	SELL	Yes	0.2166666667	120	$26.00
10:36:49	BUY	No	0.79	5	$3.95
10:36:49	BUY	No	0.77	85	$65.45
21:30:18	BUY	No	0.78974	10	$7.90
21:30:16	BUY	No	0.79	8	$6.32
20:32:57	BUY	No	0.7799999988	33	$25.53
20:25:43	BUY	No	0.7602352941	85	$64.62
08:50:19	BUY	Yes	0.24	211	$50.68
08:33:40	SELL	No	0.76	99	$75.51
21:39:07	BUY	Yes	0.24817	60	$14.89
11:19:37	BUY	Yes	0.22	20	$4.40
03:32:06	SELL	Yes	0.21	0	$0.01