IP1380
0x96e8e42db87aae72bf635ef6db7c3f1adb2dd240
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $7.95M
- Markets traded
- 542
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded542
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$675.14at 0.506Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
- +$449.54at 0.937Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
- +$446.00at 0.257US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
- +$358.07at 0.636Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
- +$296.34at 0.772US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:34 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.88 |
| 09-14 18:22 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 06:57 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.04 |
| 09-11 06:51 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1198473282 | $78.50 |
| 09-11 06:32 | Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.22 |
| 09-11 06:32 | Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $7.53 |
| 09-09 08:14 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $32.46 |
| 09-09 07:46 | Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.06 |
| 09-05 18:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.00 |
| 09-05 15:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 15:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 15:11 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.85 |
| 09-05 07:41 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.94 | $83.57 |
| 09-05 07:41 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.95 | $10.54 |