PolyBot

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Traders

IP1380

0x96e8e42db87aae72bf635ef6db7c3f1adb2dd240

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$7.95M
Markets traded
542
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded542
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.2420.260$609.33+$41.73
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3380.370$588.29+$50.27
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2100.235$547.44+$58.81
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1800.046$279.02$799.18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2090.185$249.75$33.03
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2480.235$235.00$12.69
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.3670.235$219.72$123.07
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0350.021$206.59$128.50
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? · Yes0.3410.775$181.16+$101.54
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.8040.950$179.37+$27.59
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1150.065$121.73$93.50
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1460.089$106.80$68.79
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1500.178$100.07+$15.67
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? · Yes0.2000.969$91.69+$72.75
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.8300.815$81.50$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:34Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.001$1.00
09-17 08:10Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.004$0.88
09-14 18:22Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.001$2.00
09-11 06:57Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.024$0.04
09-11 06:51Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1198473282$78.50
09-11 06:32Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.004$3.22
09-11 06:32Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.006$7.53
09-09 08:14Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?SELL0.86$32.46
09-09 07:46Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.46$5.06
09-05 18:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.17$34.00
09-05 15:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.15$30.00
09-05 15:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.15$30.00
09-05 15:11Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.39$5.85
09-05 07:41Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.94$83.57
09-05 07:41Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.95$10.54