0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209
0x34dbc406881a24b82f4b138e09169d9a004b1b63
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $420.6k
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $17.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.791Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
- +$799.56at 0.680Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
- +$539.55at 0.776Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
- +$397.83at 0.874Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
- +$233.39at 0.883Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:57 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | BUY | 0.2189033404 | $99.80 |
| 11-01 15:30 | Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? | SELL | 0.9426412714 | $310.81 |
| 11-01 15:28 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.89 | $123.43 |
| 11-01 15:27 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft? | SELL | 0.081 | $5.64 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | SELL | 0.22 | $66.00 |
| 11-01 15:19 | Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? | BUY | 0.8737674744 | $698.79 |
| 11-01 15:18 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 11-01 15:17 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | SELL | 0.7218896447 | $668.54 |
| 11-01 15:12 | Will November 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 11-01 14:16 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | SELL | 0.2322156131 | $116.34 |
| 11-01 14:09 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in November 2026? | BUY | 0.8164516129 | $126.55 |
| 11-01 14:04 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | BUY | 0.2151819001 | $203.06 |
| 11-01 07:48 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | BUY | 0.21 | $40.01 |
| 11-01 07:46 | Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |