PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209

0x34dbc406881a24b82f4b138e09169d9a004b1b63

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$177.4k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$10.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.6990.745$2.6k+$162.28
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? · No0.8790.990$2.0k+$221.31
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? · Yes0.9070.970$1.4k+$91.26
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? · No0.9510.998$861.62+$40.52
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · No0.9790.989$572.63+$5.75
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? · No0.3510.300$530.26$90.10
Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · No0.8000.945$401.97+$61.84
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? · Yes0.9160.941$307.42+$8.05
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers? · No0.9790.984$302.19+$1.45
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? · Yes0.2730.250$294.05$26.63
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2180.230$252.66+$13.05
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? · Yes0.9810.980$249.93$0.30
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers? · No0.9840.999$244.94+$3.57
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 100 mph? · Yes0.9760.989$237.88+$3.01
Will September 2026 be the 4th or lower on record? · No0.9280.981$138.99+$7.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:53Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?BUY0.987$47.97
09-16 17:01Will September 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?BUY0.005$0.05
09-16 17:00Will September 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?BUY0.95$28.50
09-16 15:44Will September 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?SELL0.995$16.43
09-16 15:37Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.22$8.80
09-16 15:25Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?BUY0.85$76.50
09-16 15:24Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?SELL0.15$1.50
09-16 15:10Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?SELL0.30681795$300.83
09-16 15:01Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.76$163.53
09-16 13:34Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?BUY0.95$28.50
09-16 10:29Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?BUY0.975$119.92
09-16 10:25Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?BUY0.9718702703$179.80
09-16 02:31Will September 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?SELL0.98$5.88
09-16 02:25Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?SELL0.37$8.74
09-15 23:17Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?SELL0.42$48.68