PolyBot

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Traders

supersmard

0xe3f2ecfd3e648bdabcd3fb701ccf294f13afe1c1

Realised P&L
$45.3k
Volume
$1.34M
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$36.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.6350.625$6.9k$111.63
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.2130.192$4.8k$530.41
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%? · Over0.6750.715$2.5k+$143.62
Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.4670.445$2.3k$110.20
Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? · Over0.3230.480$1.9k+$638.34
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.4940.585$1.8k+$282.89
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? · Under0.1590.150$1.6k$92.90
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.3230.825$1.4k+$836.69
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.5600.545$1.2k$34.06
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.4220.305$1.2k$443.49
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.3730.224$1.1k$744.98
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0180.007$915.07$1.2k
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.2780.465$826.42+$332.94
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.3820.435$795.80+$96.81
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? · Over0.3500.340$667.42$19.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:21Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.4$195.60
09-16 10:30Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.4$456.24
09-15 09:12Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.51$16.27
09-15 07:39Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.3579668439$45.78
09-14 19:39Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.16$515.92
09-14 19:37Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.32$88.19
09-12 20:39Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?BUY0.4051754316$141.30
09-12 19:50Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?SELL0.21$116.20
09-12 19:50Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?BUY0.32$191.76
09-12 19:46Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?BUY0.241$37.31
09-12 19:21Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?BUY0.392$67.90
09-12 16:01Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?SELL0.399$22.44
09-12 12:30Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?BUY0.3177806688$756.02
09-12 12:27Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.49$103.88
09-12 12:21Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?SELL0.4005625563$35.60