supersmard
0xe3f2ecfd3e648bdabcd3fb701ccf294f13afe1c1
- Realised P&L
- $80.3k
- Volume
- $2.16M
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $80.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.0kat 0.221Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?
- +$11.5kat 0.050Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
- +$9.0kat 0.117Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$8.9kat 0.162Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
- +$8.9kat 0.290Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:43 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.0211842411 | $26.29 |
| 11-01 20:42 | Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | SELL | 0.953 | $20.01 |
| 11-01 20:41 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | SELL | 0.0672 | $3.36 |
| 11-01 20:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.005 | $434.87 |
| 11-01 20:40 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 20:40 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.9979732267 | $4.8k |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.4k |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $12.7k |
| 10-30 12:43 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.3k |
| 10-30 12:42 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.3k |
| 10-29 14:08 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.7k |
| 10-29 12:47 | Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.021 | $14.72 |
| 10-29 10:23 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.5k |
| 10-29 10:19 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $292.86 |
| 10-29 10:19 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $436.50 |