PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zugzwaaang

0x93222fb1df4aa83497b92beb1c7af2f1bd039739

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$197.0k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1400.403$323.57+$210.95
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7170.981$280.26+$75.26
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.4200.080$126.32−$536.86
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0460.007$107.10−$553.74
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.8570.105$99.33−$711.76
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0310.041$47.80+$11.47
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0510.011$15.48−$59.79
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0180.001$3.65−$127.23
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2580.001$3.52−$904.49
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00−$34.23
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$200.00
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$81.03
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$200.00
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$67.75
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.2860.000$0.00−$600.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 16:49Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$66.00
06-18 16:49Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$66.00
06-18 16:48Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$165.00
04-04 15:26Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.7399999998$200.00
04-04 15:25Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?SELL0.27$38.10
04-04 11:31Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.2819446985$400.00
04-02 22:58Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.2948508718$200.00
04-02 22:52Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.05$200.00
04-02 22:51Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.0794627607$200.00
04-02 22:51Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.0629759559$200.00
04-02 22:49Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.4899999996$500.00
03-11 14:59Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY0.128$4.10
03-11 14:59Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY0.128$4.48
03-11 14:58Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY0.1299564493$17.93
03-11 14:57Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL0.6735461126$1.2k