gopfan2
0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817
- Realised P&L
- $1.52M
- Volume
- $71.73M
- Markets traded
- 2,044
- Open portfolio
- $470.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,044
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$897.8kat 0.050Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
- +$423.0kat 0.500Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
- +$201.3kat 0.553Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$127.0kat 0.638Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$110.9kat 0.241Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:38 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $482.17 |
| 09-14 19:08 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.6k |
| 09-08 20:39 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5134741198 | $11.3k |
| 09-08 15:41 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $850.73 |
| 09-08 11:33 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.1k |
| 09-08 11:06 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6946915108 | $33.2k |
| 09-08 11:06 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.5k |
| 08-31 11:26 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $7.7k |
| 08-23 14:02 | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.5k |
| 08-21 17:44 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.959 | $0.13 |
| 08-21 17:44 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 17:44 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 17:44 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $8.84 |
| 08-21 17:44 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 08-16 18:05 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $236.07 |