PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Realised P&L
$-115.6k
Volume
$10.67M
Markets traded
462
Open portfolio
$11.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded462
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes0.2270.309$5.2k+$1.4k
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.6200.460$1.8k$640.00
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? · No0.8640.978$1.6k+$190.07
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · Yes0.9610.986$1.0k+$26.23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4030.115$629.97$1.6k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes0.2811.000$419.41+$301.50
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.7440.951$337.60+$73.51
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 172m and 177m? · No0.7521.000$99.95+$24.75
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? · No0.7000.945$34.29+$8.89
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? · Yes0.7200.991$19.82+$5.42
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.001$17.38$10.4k
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.2030.004$8.92$507.39
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? · No0.9660.981$6.14+$0.09
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026? · Yes0.6600.730$5.11+$0.49
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · Yes0.1500.205$4.10+$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:20Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.9608848338$1.0k
08-02 05:08Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.3749119163$868.29
08-02 01:10Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?BUY0.966$6.05
08-01 13:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.24$44.48
08-01 06:03Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m?BUY0.72$14.40
08-01 06:03Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 172m and 177m?BUY0.752$75.20
07-31 03:32Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.208428188$1.3k
07-31 03:31Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?BUY0.8810955603$1.2k
07-29 16:08Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?BUY0.782455365$223.07
07-29 16:08Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?BUY0.7$25.40
07-29 16:08Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.1989053322$1.6k
07-25 05:38Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.1947337619$111.47
07-22 18:30Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?BUY0.9692332138$1.1k
07-22 18:13Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?BUY0.920416856$3.5k
07-20 22:53Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$57.36