0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
- Realised P&L
- $-115.6k
- Volume
- $10.67M
- Markets traded
- 462
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded462
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.5kat 0.241Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$30.3kat 0.268Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
- +$13.9kat 0.866US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$12.9kat 0.406Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
- +$12.5kat 0.877US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:20 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.9608848338 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 05:08 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.3749119163 | $868.29 |
| 08-02 01:10 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m? | BUY | 0.966 | $6.05 |
| 08-01 13:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $44.48 |
| 08-01 06:03 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-01 06:03 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 172m and 177m? | BUY | 0.752 | $75.20 |
| 07-31 03:32 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.208428188 | $1.3k |
| 07-31 03:31 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | BUY | 0.8810955603 | $1.2k |
| 07-29 16:08 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | BUY | 0.782455365 | $223.07 |
| 07-29 16:08 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $25.40 |
| 07-29 16:08 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.1989053322 | $1.6k |
| 07-25 05:38 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.1947337619 | $111.47 |
| 07-22 18:30 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? | BUY | 0.9692332138 | $1.1k |
| 07-22 18:13 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026? | BUY | 0.920416856 | $3.5k |
| 07-20 22:53 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $57.36 |