PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f

Realised P&L
$-108.6k
Volume
$10.83M
Markets traded
500
Open portfolio
$49.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded500
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? · No0.9711.000$32.9k+$961.35
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs · Marsborne0.7480.500$9.4k$4.6k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m? · No0.7481.000$2.4k+$603.40
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m? · Yes0.9991.000$990.46+$1.10
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? · No0.9991.000$835.01+$0.84
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.6200.230$777.96$1.3k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m? · Yes0.7401.000$523.00+$136.23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4030.055$301.29$1.9k
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? · No0.9460.607$218.09$122.16
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? · No0.9080.683$168.14$55.21
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 17, 2026? · Yes0.9901.000$127.16+$1.30
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? · Yes0.0901.000$114.87+$104.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2AM ET · Down0.6061.000$110.00+$43.30
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? · No0.8221.000$66.28+$11.82
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · Yes0.4780.067$63.55$393.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:43Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?BUY0.083$59.56
09-15 12:43Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.176$39.16
09-15 12:43Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1835395948$23.92
09-15 11:52Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1848288194$28.32
09-15 11:51Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?BUY0.0755860277$3.93
09-12 05:34Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 17, 2026?BUY0.9897772885$125.86
09-10 17:18Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.4737653602$339.05
09-10 17:18Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?BUY0.9079268293$223.35
09-10 17:18Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?BUY0.9462218082$340.25
09-10 08:47Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.74$959.35
09-10 08:44Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.7496341236$1.1k
09-10 08:44Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.75$1.5k
09-10 08:40Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.75$1.5k
09-10 08:40Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.75$1.5k
09-10 08:40Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.75$1.5k