0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
- Realised P&L
- $-144.7k
- Volume
- $11.29M
- Markets traded
- 560
- Open portfolio
- $51.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded560
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.5kat 0.240Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$13.9kat 0.866US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$12.5kat 0.877US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$10.8kat 0.849Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?
- +$10.2kat 0.692Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:05 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.6208229293 | $158.23 |
| 10-31 10:33 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.3653071562 | $2.5k |
| 10-31 09:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.1470233662 | $169.76 |
| 10-31 09:49 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.15 | $518.78 |
| 10-31 02:34 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.7189713265 | $2.1k |
| 10-31 02:27 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.7195358754 | $5.1k |
| 10-30 17:33 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.11 | $74.88 |
| 10-30 10:13 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.4299064721 | $1.1k |
| 10-29 23:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.8201035557 | $8.4k |
| 10-29 16:51 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.8268049782 | $5.6k |
| 10-29 16:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.8087403896 | $21.1k |
| 10-29 16:38 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.1890276268 | $7.2k |
| 10-29 15:20 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.1572351368 | $7.7k |
| 10-29 15:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.1467130927 | $1.3k |
| 10-29 12:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.2344723396 | $116.56 |