0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990f
- Realised P&L
- $-108.6k
- Volume
- $10.83M
- Markets traded
- 500
- Open portfolio
- $49.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded500
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.8kat 0.493Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$37.8kat 0.572Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 45m?
- +$20.9kat 0.489Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
- +$13.9kat 0.866US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$12.5kat 0.877US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:43 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | BUY | 0.083 | $59.56 |
| 09-15 12:43 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.176 | $39.16 |
| 09-15 12:43 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1835395948 | $23.92 |
| 09-15 11:52 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1848288194 | $28.32 |
| 09-15 11:51 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | BUY | 0.0755860277 | $3.93 |
| 09-12 05:34 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9897772885 | $125.86 |
| 09-10 17:18 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.4737653602 | $339.05 |
| 09-10 17:18 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | BUY | 0.9079268293 | $223.35 |
| 09-10 17:18 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | BUY | 0.9462218082 | $340.25 |
| 09-10 08:47 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.74 | $959.35 |
| 09-10 08:44 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.7496341236 | $1.1k |
| 09-10 08:44 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $1.5k |
| 09-10 08:40 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $1.5k |
| 09-10 08:40 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $1.5k |
| 09-10 08:40 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $1.5k |