Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-04
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.27. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.14 to 0.40. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	490	490
0.29	240	730
0.31	145	875
0.32	124	999
0.33	258	1,257
0.34	220	1,477
0.35	9	1,486
0.36	364	1,850
0.37	199	2,049
0.38	150	2,199
0.52	170	2,369
0.63	100	2,469

Spread0.03Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	428	428
0.24	119	547
0.23	20	567
0.20	26	593
0.11	70	663
0.10	97	760
0.09	36	796
0.07	71	868
0.06	213	1,081
0.05	100	1,181
0.04	125	1,306
0.01	39	1,346

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	428	428
0.76	119	547
0.77	20	567
0.80	26	593
0.89	70	663
0.90	97	760
0.91	36	796
0.93	71	868
0.94	213	1,081
0.95	100	1,181
0.96	125	1,306
0.99	39	1,346

Spread0.03Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	490	490
0.71	240	730
0.69	145	875
0.68	124	999
0.67	258	1,257
0.66	220	1,477
0.65	9	1,486
0.64	364	1,850
0.63	199	2,049
0.62	150	2,199
0.48	170	2,369
0.37	100	2,469

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
rabbit007	Yes	654.87
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794	Yes	307.38
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	128.13
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	100
AJSV	Yes	95.19
itsjustcheddar	Yes	90
alamedamemola	Yes	60
youtube-trader	Yes	50.57
sdssds	Yes	50
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	50
Started-with-20-USD	Yes	43
lolzzzlol	Yes	20
0x33fA01Ca5ac66fD885D51961A4153a8B06acF064-1790538203894	Yes	20
sibooooo	Yes	20
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	20
balthazar	Yes	17.43
Lazygoth31	Yes	17.24
frontiertrade	Yes	13.76
Haradwaith	Yes	8.14
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354	Yes	8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:35:05	SELL	Yes	0.23	6	$1.38
04:08:35	BUY	Yes	0.19	5	$0.95
04:08:35	BUY	Yes	0.19	8	$1.52
00:41:39	BUY	Yes	0.2899999884	17	$5.00
22:17:02	BUY	No	0.69	23	$15.87
22:16:08	SELL	Yes	0.31	23	$7.13
22:15:59	SELL	Yes	0.31	20	$6.20
22:15:45	SELL	Yes	0.32	20	$6.40
22:15:44	BUY	No	0.69	20	$13.80
22:15:44	BUY	No	0.69	20	$13.80
22:15:44	SELL	Yes	0.32	265	$84.80
22:15:44	BUY	No	0.69	20	$13.80
22:15:44	BUY	No	0.68	20	$13.60
16:14:56	BUY	Yes	0.37	5	$1.85
15:40:56	SELL	No	0.63	3	$1.63
15:40:42	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
14:40:50	BUY	No	0.6990291045	7	$5.00
14:09:33	BUY	No	0.65	29	$18.79
14:05:48	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
14:05:39	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
14:05:39	BUY	No	0.65	12	$8.07
14:05:36	BUY	No	0.65	4	$2.60
14:05:35	BUY	No	0.65	14	$9.10
14:05:35	SELL	Yes	0.36	14	$5.04
14:05:33	BUY	No	0.64	50	$31.74