Lazygoth31
0x792ed27ddd17f10e12eeef165c62114384b0e25d
- Realised P&L
- $-10.80
- Volume
- $933.34
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $157.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.47at 0.600S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28?
- +$2.59at 0.914Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?
- +$0.40at 0.460Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
- +$-0.73at 0.371Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?
- +$-1.85at 0.295Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 05:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 05:11 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-29 00:41 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 00:41 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 23:10 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.27 |
| 09-28 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 13:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.81 | $13.77 |
| 09-28 00:58 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.4599999955 | $31.00 |
| 09-28 00:58 | Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.4429999977 | $31.00 |
| 09-28 00:56 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $39.38 |
| 09-27 23:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 23:17 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $32.73 |
| 09-27 11:06 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 11:05 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 10:56 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $30.00 |