PolyBot

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Traders

rabbit007

0xf2aa8381a08ec33467fbcdd0843aa31cb8d521fb

Realised P&L
$44.3k
Volume
$2.51M
Markets traded
742
Open portfolio
$13.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded742
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · No0.6180.635$2.8k+$73.85
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026? · No0.7260.996$1.7k+$467.19
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · No0.6890.987$1.0k+$311.13
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5851.000$999.82+$414.14
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.5100.455$975.60$117.37
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes0.5050.625$789.00+$151.88
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.6340.550$770.24$117.90
Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September? · No0.9160.990$656.10+$48.94
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? · Yes0.0940.170$630.38+$282.10
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? · No0.8900.955$607.99+$41.38
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard? · No0.9090.996$543.59+$47.31
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.2200.425$425.00+$205.00
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · No0.8960.984$379.82+$33.79
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly? · No0.6040.996$215.03+$84.59
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · No0.0930.130$174.92+$49.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:34Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?SELL0.18$41.67
09-17 17:13Will Tropical Storm Norbert strengthen to a hurricane?SELL0.01$0.07
09-17 17:12Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?SELL0.03$0.58
09-17 17:12Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.16$0.18
09-17 17:10Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?SELL0.1629147368$30.95
09-17 11:34Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0641673719$63.99
09-17 10:00Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.2169294067$50.09
09-17 09:59Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?SELL0.75$243.91
09-17 09:58Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?SELL0.2411079342$20.24
09-17 09:57Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.84$5.61
09-17 09:57Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.84$42.00
09-17 09:57Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.8398713991$378.14
09-17 09:56Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.8260227761$269.10
09-17 09:56Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?SELL0.2815958993$185.96
09-17 09:55Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?BUY0.0789973542$259.76