PolyBot

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Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-28
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.52. up 0.30 over the period, from 0.22. Range 0.22 to 0.73. 93 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.53181181
0.541,6101,791
0.557522,542
0.581072,649
0.592992,948
0.606163,564
0.616744,238
0.631294,367
0.65604,427
0.661654,592
0.67364,628
0.68784,706

Spread0.02Mid0.52

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.511,1761,176
0.507001,876
0.492202,096
0.48102,106
0.43202,126
0.4152,131
0.26802,211
0.03102,220
0.021832,404
0.017073,111

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.491,1761,176
0.507001,876
0.512202,096
0.52102,106
0.57202,126
0.5952,131
0.74802,211
0.97102,220
0.981832,404
0.997073,111

Spread0.02Mid0.48

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.47181181
0.461,6101,791
0.457522,542
0.421072,649
0.412992,948
0.406163,564
0.396744,238
0.371294,367
0.35604,427
0.341654,592
0.33364,628
0.32784,706

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
grinder1011Yes1,048.31
jimmer-fredetteYes978
pullthetriggerYes935.02
cosmicsteaksYes900.35
DuneMentatYes607.47
marksmanYes320.86
thursdaysYes249
tradetosurvive1Yes194.83
PCMTestYes170.45
chelseaquinYes150.94
FihdrzgddYes121
AnjunYes111
LucerysYes107.3
AiBirdYes100
0x1c37…a324Yes74.12
AJSVYes71.13
aliizYes65
WholeFawn1278Yes61
0x42c0…b200Yes55
lolzzzlolYes50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:23:01BUYYes0.53300$159.00
17:34:30BUYNo0.4859$28.51
17:34:30BUYNo0.4810$4.80
17:34:30BUYNo0.4816$7.76
16:33:40SELLNo0.484$1.92
16:32:31SELLYes0.5243$22.36
16:32:25BUYNo0.4843$20.64
16:32:25BUYNo0.48146$70.20
16:32:18BUYNo0.4830$14.52
16:32:10BUYNo0.4859$28.32
11:16:34SELLNo0.471$0.50
11:15:04BUYNo0.49111$54.32
11:14:07BUYNo0.4967$33.07
11:14:07BUYNo0.4978$38.19
11:14:07BUYNo0.49115$56.35
11:14:07BUYNo0.4899999993296$145.26
11:14:07BUYNo0.49120$58.80
11:14:07BUYNo0.4990$44.10
11:14:07BUYNo0.49101$49.28
11:14:07BUYNo0.4940$19.60
06:22:01SELLNo0.481$0.48
06:21:52BUYNo0.4920$9.81
06:21:52BUYNo0.49153$75.07
06:10:36SELLYes0.5124$12.01
01:32:07BUYYes0.5299999973151$80.00