PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

jimmer-fredette

0xdff848bc245f1db1f8ad42b630a506955e213c8b

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$210.8k
Markets traded
418
Open portfolio
$10.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded418
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3950.585$1.0k+$325.96
Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6630.785$942.00+$146.00
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes0.7000.705$705.00+$5.00
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2170.285$641.98+$152.97
Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes0.6400.720$576.22+$64.15
Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.4160.445$516.44+$33.71
Will “The Way I Am” by Luke Combs win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No0.8260.850$509.15+$14.65
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.5280.520$508.56$7.79
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.7890.787$393.50$1.00
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3520.460$352.83+$82.62
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1400.335$332.60+$193.39
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3950.350$331.92$42.53
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.3650.485$309.95+$76.51
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? · Yes0.3400.435$283.19+$61.85
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3690.405$235.41+$21.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 21:03Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4$120.00
09-21 21:03Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.1737972362$13.08
09-21 21:02Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.0985249067$26.94
09-21 20:42Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.39$106.86
09-21 20:42Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.39505$395.05
09-21 19:53Will Sienna Spiro win Best New Artist at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.48$11.07
09-21 19:52Will Cortis win Best New Artist at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.52$47.74
09-21 19:47Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.7$700.00
09-21 19:45Will “Horses and Divorces” by Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.09$10.80
09-21 19:43Will “Parker McCollum” by Parker McCollum win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.092$7.36
09-21 19:43Will “The Way I Am” by Luke Combs win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.8233082707$328.50
09-21 19:40Will Cody Johnson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.1759416446$66.33
09-21 19:34Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.19$16.80
09-21 19:34Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.18$26.10
09-21 19:29Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.13$35.59