chelseaquin
0x395f5e2d9d4850c4478b76440a98df586f5be6b6
- Realised P&L
- $39.35
- Volume
- $41.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $455.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.15at 0.827Will South Africa win in regulation?
- +$11.15at 0.900Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$7.02at 0.742Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
- +$4.17at 0.708Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
- +$1.07at 0.903Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:36 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:33 | Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:32 | Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.5299999973 | $80.00 |
| 09-21 23:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:03 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 22:57 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5214785 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:56 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:55 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:55 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7329999894 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:50 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7359999741 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6069999845 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5309999919 | $10.00 |