PCMTest
0x51b11a18e75d0f4c3f8e8e360f89eb911d727865
- Realised P&L
- $13.7k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 1,138
- Open portfolio
- $19.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,138
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.486Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
- +$4.0kat 0.153MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.271Will all of Trump's children attend the State of the Union?
- +$1.0kat 0.597Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$830.55at 0.529Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:54 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 20:29 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 11-01 20:20 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 11-01 20:20 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.05 |
| 11-01 20:19 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 11-01 19:39 | Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.65 |
| 11-01 19:26 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 19:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.57 |
| 11-01 19:18 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $30.35 |
| 11-01 19:09 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $25.65 |
| 11-01 18:59 | Will Kyrie Irving be traded before the 2027 NBA trade deadline? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 11-01 18:53 | Will Iowa have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 11-01 18:38 | Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? | BUY | 0.49 | $6.57 |
| 11-01 18:35 | Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 11-01 18:33 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.695 | $3.54 |