PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PCMTest

0x51b11a18e75d0f4c3f8e8e360f89eb911d727865

Realised P&L
$13.7k
Volume
$1.57M
Markets traded
1,138
Open portfolio
$19.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,138
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7050.937$827.57+$204.72
Will Miami Hurricanes advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game? · Yes0.7420.810$810.00+$68.00
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? · Yes0.6430.685$578.26+$35.66
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? · Yes0.5990.555$555.00−$43.64
Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins · Jacksonville Dolphins0.7150.529$529.00−$185.73
Rippling IPO before 2027? · No0.6100.939$392.91+$137.66
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? · No0.8030.967$389.70+$66.20
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.5430.972$386.86+$170.52
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.6540.983$331.07+$110.72
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.3230.355$327.46+$29.06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5460.295$324.50−$276.37
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028? · No0.5390.680$324.18+$67.15
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.6430.800$309.60+$60.72
Rico Dowdle: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 · Over0.8060.996$305.65+$58.24
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? · Yes0.6320.665$266.00+$13.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:54Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?BUY0.55$11.00
11-01 20:29Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.14$28.00
11-01 20:20Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?BUY0.43$8.60
11-01 20:20Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?BUY0.45$4.05
11-01 20:19Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?BUY0.45$22.50
11-01 19:39Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.14$7.65
11-01 19:26Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?BUY0.15$30.00
11-01 19:21Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.33$9.57
11-01 19:18Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.28$30.35
11-01 19:09Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.28$25.65
11-01 18:59Will Kyrie Irving be traded before the 2027 NBA trade deadline?BUY0.19$1.90
11-01 18:53Will Iowa have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.81$4.05
11-01 18:38Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?BUY0.49$6.57
11-01 18:35Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.39$7.80
11-01 18:33Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?BUY0.695$3.54