0x1c3765cb169fb480117cb5e5954138e46f61a324
- Realised P&L
- $-329.47
- Volume
- $43.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,498
- Open portfolio
- $252.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,498
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.70at 0.333Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?
- +$52.38at 0.155Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?
- +$49.94at 0.497Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 14?
- +$49.87at 0.506Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?
- +$47.14at 0.479Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:45 | Solana Up or Down - September 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5027038573 | $13.78 |
| 09-17 22:40 | Solana Up or Down - September 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $6.12 |
| 09-17 22:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.30 |
| 09-17 22:28 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.44 |
| 09-17 21:17 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.8409999902 | $6.37 |
| 09-17 20:41 | Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.8699999171 | $6.30 |
| 09-17 12:50 | Solana Up or Down - September 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.16 |
| 09-17 09:20 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.80 |
| 09-17 08:25 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.4699999993 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 02:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $9.60 |
| 09-17 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999531 | $2.94 |
| 09-17 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $1.53 |
| 09-17 01:05 | Solana Up or Down - September 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $4.08 |
| 09-16 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $1.53 |
| 09-16 17:10 | Solana Up or Down - September 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $4.08 |