0x1c3765cb169fb480117cb5e5954138e46f61a324
- Realised P&L
- $-386.21
- Volume
- $36.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,249
- Open portfolio
- $289.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,249
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.61at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 22?
- +$52.70at 0.150Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?
- +$39.58at 0.068XRP Up or Down - July 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$34.50at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?
- +$33.20at 0.510Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:37 | Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-03 03:46 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 03:46 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 20:08 | SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz to win the second half? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.64 |
| 08-02 09:29 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.96 |
| 08-02 09:29 | Will "Rigged" be in the headlines this week? | SELL | 0.904 | $25.49 |
| 08-02 09:29 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | SELL | 0.9437348203 | $60.93 |
| 08-02 09:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.52 |
| 08-02 04:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.89 | $3.56 |
| 08-01 20:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.64 |
| 08-01 18:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.8699999703 | $3.52 |
| 08-01 18:26 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.6113504462 | $35.34 |
| 08-01 05:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.64 |
| 08-01 04:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.88 | $3.52 |
| 07-31 20:45 | Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.89 | $3.56 |