PolyBot

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Traders

WholeFawn1278

0x2a97e8ecb37b04709417c3df75f1691146e77cad

Realised P&L
$108.91
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$245.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.6520.875$52.50+$13.40
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6960.785$39.25+$4.45
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.1500.140$30.66$2.16
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? · No0.5030.515$26.78+$0.62
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? · Yes0.6340.720$18.00+$2.15
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.7130.892$17.85+$3.59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8850.870$13.04$0.23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2400.215$10.75$1.25
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? · Yes0.5000.525$10.50+$0.50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8200.785$7.85$0.35
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3000.107$6.45$11.55
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2800.400$4.00+$1.20
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? · No0.2900.365$3.65+$0.75
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.125$2.50$2.50
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.1400.215$2.15+$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:02Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.15$1.50
09-18 13:48Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?BUY0.51$3.06
09-18 13:45Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.27$2.70
09-18 13:45Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.28$2.80
09-18 13:45Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.28$2.80
09-18 13:25Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.1$5.00
09-18 13:25Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.16$8.00
09-18 13:25Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.16$8.00
09-18 13:20Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.1064655172$3.09
09-18 13:20Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.16$4.64
09-18 13:20Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.16$4.64
09-18 13:17Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.13$6.50
09-18 13:11Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.14$6.02
09-18 13:11Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.14$5.18
09-18 12:52Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?BUY0.63$12.60