US recession by end of 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.36. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.32 to 0.37. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.37	200	200
0.38	305	505
0.39	2,192	2,697
0.40	1,784	4,481
0.42	4,560	9,041
0.51	300	9,341
0.94	335	9,676
0.95	550	10,226
0.96	250	10,476
0.97	417	10,893
0.98	1,475	12,368
0.99	3,169	15,536

Spread0.01Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.36	290	290
0.35	172	462
0.34	1,017	1,478
0.33	50	1,528
0.31	3,000	4,528
0.27	1,140	5,668
0.25	5	5,673
0.24	409	6,083
0.22	50	6,133
0.21	80	6,213
0.20	350	6,563
0.16	7	6,570

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.64	290	290
0.65	172	462
0.66	1,017	1,478
0.67	50	1,528
0.69	3,000	4,528
0.73	1,140	5,668
0.75	5	5,673
0.76	409	6,083
0.78	50	6,133
0.79	80	6,213
0.80	350	6,563
0.84	7	6,570

Spread0.01Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.63	200	200
0.62	305	505
0.61	2,192	2,697
0.60	1,784	4,481
0.58	4,560	9,041
0.49	300	9,341
0.06	335	9,676
0.05	550	10,226
0.04	250	10,476
0.03	417	10,893
0.02	1,475	12,368
0.01	3,169	15,536

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Copezilla	Yes	2,907.18
0x02187919A1bFb8E2Fe11F4a44c9db3520A2741aE-1760172430762	Yes	767.1
0xeF6cC915096f06e797FF248Bb880F5C4F39A33ef-1771073910378	Yes	229.81
rainy59	Yes	200
Rafael88	Yes	183.42
V4grant	Yes	43.48
brzcfh	Yes	15.15
GuyFromTinder	Yes	14.44
mrblarg64	Yes	10
retiredoncrypto	Yes	10
bechamel	Yes	4.09
d-oneguy	Yes	3.82
PavelIslimnitsky	Yes	2.08
imakebigbets	No	1,640
LA17	No	1,499.68
puravida	No	339.13
Haradwaith	No	216.17
aliiz	No	177.05
MadCloud101	No	119
Peremiriya	No	80

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:47:13	BUY	No	0.64	2	$1.00
05:13:42	BUY	No	0.64	19	$12.16
22:42:30	SELL	Yes	0.36	1	$0.20
19:22:06	BUY	Yes	0.37	548	$202.86
17:44:22	BUY	Yes	0.37	20	$7.40
17:44:21	BUY	Yes	0.365460589	21	$7.60
17:44:21	BUY	Yes	0.3599999922	21	$7.40
17:44:19	BUY	Yes	0.3663366326	218	$80.00
18:09:03	SELL	No	0.64	1	$0.58
18:09:03	SELL	No	0.64	19	$12.22
18:08:58	SELL	No	0.64	20	$12.80
18:08:31	SELL	No	0.67	40	$26.80
18:08:28	BUY	Yes	0.33	20	$6.60
18:08:28	BUY	Yes	0.32	141	$45.04
14:17:54	SELL	Yes	0.31	2	$0.63
12:04:19	SELL	No	0.68	0	$0.10
11:54:54	SELL	Yes	0.31	2	$0.63
02:52:42	BUY	No	0.6899999979	10	$6.68
02:52:25	BUY	No	0.6899999916	10	$6.58
16:47:21	SELL	Yes	0.31	2	$0.63
03:05:45	SELL	Yes	0.31	1	$0.43
02:12:51	SELL	No	0.68	1	$0.42
22:52:40	BUY	Yes	0.32	9	$2.72
20:13:48	BUY	Yes	0.32	38	$12.00
17:10:46	BUY	No	0.6899999975	8	$5.44