US recession by end of 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.32. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.31 to 0.35. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	105	105
0.33	727	832
0.34	5,818	6,650
0.35	80	6,730
0.36	130	6,860
0.37	2,558	9,418
0.38	20	9,438
0.39	281	9,719
0.40	400	10,119
0.57	500	10,619
0.94	333	10,952
0.95	556	11,508

Spread0.01Mid0.32

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.31	460	460
0.30	352	812
0.29	5,766	6,578
0.27	140	6,718
0.25	55	6,773
0.24	70	6,843
0.22	150	6,993
0.21	4,210	11,203
0.20	350	11,553
0.18	6	11,560
0.17	100	11,660
0.16	500	12,160

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.69	460	460
0.70	352	812
0.71	5,766	6,578
0.73	140	6,718
0.75	55	6,773
0.76	70	6,843
0.78	150	6,993
0.79	4,210	11,203
0.80	350	11,553
0.82	6	11,560
0.83	100	11,660
0.84	500	12,160

Spread0.01Mid0.69

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	105	105
0.67	727	832
0.66	5,818	6,650
0.65	80	6,730
0.64	130	6,860
0.63	2,558	9,418
0.62	20	9,438
0.61	281	9,719
0.60	400	10,119
0.43	500	10,619
0.06	333	10,952
0.05	556	11,508

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Copezilla	Yes	3,307.17
0x546029093abad5c5615f72c903908baccfc8c7b5	Yes	999.98
0x02187919A1bFb8E2Fe11F4a44c9db3520A2741aE-1760172430762	Yes	767.1
Wojtek	Yes	700
Donkov	Yes	499.99
iraa3	Yes	300.09
tabcoin	Yes	281.75
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	260.68
0xeF6cC915096f06e797FF248Bb880F5C4F39A33ef-1771073910378	Yes	229.81
rainy59	Yes	200
0x473cf7CC2aBF1E78033F13c647dE1Fc341040F94-1771088258313	Yes	160
lacuna-m1	Yes	100
trzorira2	Yes	100
.0.	Yes	99.99
StanGrossman	Yes	99.99
dandakao	Yes	85.71
0x9dE6461495bD48520077608AC9eF012A6EaBE7f0-1782112143003	Yes	80.81
AusMaximus	Yes	55
ZeB	Yes	45
V4grant	Yes	43.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:21:58	SELL	Yes	0.3	1,112	$333.71
00:21:57	BUY	No	0.7	20	$14.00
00:21:57	BUY	No	0.7	40	$28.00
02:42:48	BUY	No	0.69	20	$13.80
02:26:34	SELL	No	0.67	20	$13.40
02:26:31	BUY	Yes	0.3293333333	300	$98.80
15:56:49	SELL	Yes	0.3	1	$0.22
15:36:16	SELL	Yes	0.319596408	496	$158.38
15:36:16	BUY	No	0.68	20	$13.60
15:36:14	BUY	No	0.667532027	3,420	$2282.81
15:36:14	BUY	No	0.68	20	$13.60
15:36:14	BUY	Yes	0.33	80	$26.48
15:36:14	BUY	No	0.6799999993	61	$41.40
15:36:14	BUY	No	0.68	24	$16.32
15:36:14	BUY	No	0.68	74	$50.32
15:36:14	BUY	No	0.68	220	$149.60
15:36:14	BUY	No	0.68	27	$18.36
15:36:14	BUY	No	0.6799999917	19	$13.11
08:33:22	SELL	No	0.64	4	$2.75
14:04:37	BUY	Yes	0.3599999997	139	$50.00
14:11:51	BUY	Yes	0.36	40	$14.40
14:11:51	BUY	Yes	0.3599999997	139	$50.00
14:11:51	BUY	Yes	0.36	23	$8.32
14:11:51	SELL	No	0.65	144	$93.60
06:53:35	BUY	Yes	0.35	30	$10.50