PolyBot

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Traders

Donkov

0xbc54e69667ceb6ccec538e5a0ba1927fc1fe680f

Realised P&L
$72.7k
Volume
$32.42M
Markets traded
1,820
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,820
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · No0.9390.967$1.8k+$51.56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.825$1.2k−$21.80
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9630.978$977.49+$14.90
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.953$517.22+$12.50
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.961$414.52−$1.27
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.9400.970$387.84+$11.79
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1960.275$332.75+$96.03
Will Trump resign before 2027? · No0.9400.980$259.55+$10.46
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · No0.9600.967$193.40+$1.40
US recession by end of 2027? · Yes0.3400.315$157.50−$12.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1600.155$126.29−$3.92
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9450.989$85.59+$3.80
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.017$84.79+$2.93
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.025$76.49+$48.93
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.025$73.50+$30.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 15:28Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.23$29.85
09-28 12:19Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.965$965.00
09-28 08:45Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.965$1.9k
09-24 14:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.011$2.20
09-24 08:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.011$2.22
09-22 16:56Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.046$18.09
09-06 10:12Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?SELL0.001$0.58
09-05 16:09Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?BUY0.1$30.00
09-05 16:07Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?BUY0.1$30.00
08-22 16:07Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?BUY0.08$1.55
08-13 16:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$0.42
08-13 13:00Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.008$2.58
08-12 09:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.017$1.08
08-03 21:09Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.135$76.88
07-30 10:12Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$182.23