Donkov
0xbc54e69667ceb6ccec538e5a0ba1927fc1fe680f
- Realised P&L
- $71.2k
- Volume
- $30.28M
- Markets traded
- 1,805
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,805
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.832Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$2.7kat 0.417Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
- +$2.2kat 0.971Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
- +$2.0kat 0.668Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$1.6kat 0.949Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 10:12 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.58 |
| 09-05 16:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 16:07 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 08-22 16:07 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.55 |
| 08-13 16:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.42 |
| 08-13 13:00 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $2.58 |
| 08-12 09:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.08 |
| 08-03 21:09 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.135 | $76.88 |
| 07-30 10:12 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $182.23 |
| 07-29 18:51 | Will Trump resign before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $83.80 |
| 07-29 18:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $899.10 |
| 07-29 18:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 07-28 19:55 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.018 | $7.09 |
| 07-19 22:22 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.28 |
| 07-19 21:56 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0625 | $18.75 |