PolyBot

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Traders

0x546029093abad5c5615f72c903908baccfc8c7b5

0x546029093abad5c5615f72c903908baccfc8c7b5

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$47.3k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3370.095$1.2k$3.2k
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans? · Yes0.5640.875$154.11+$54.77
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 1%? · No0.6860.735$117.60+$7.80
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.6370.130$104.39$406.90
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election? · Yes0.5200.485$19.89$1.43
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$250.00
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes0.6260.000$0.00$1.8k
Will Trump win Mississippi by 20+ points? · No0.5000.000$0.00$250.00
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? · Yes0.3430.000$0.00$500.00
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$170.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:18Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 1%?BUY0.68625$109.80
09-15 19:55SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?SELL0.8359021088$96.32
09-15 19:54Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.93$279.00
09-13 20:34Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.9212054718$476.00
09-13 18:02Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.77$231.00
09-13 17:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.13$41.33
09-08 19:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6290218695$200.00
09-08 18:38Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election?BUY0.52$21.32
09-08 18:21SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?SELL0.85$50.52
09-08 11:42SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?BUY0.5640134884$197.85
07-06 01:34Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.62$15.50
07-06 01:33Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.6372496577$495.79
06-17 00:20US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
06-17 00:19SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?BUY0.8326237318$33.37
04-10 21:03US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.25$250.00